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Harris County, TX

Houston

RANK #921 / 996 NAT  ·  #55 / 69 TX  ·  POP 4,726,177

1YR FORECAST: -1.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +11%

Our model projects Harris County's housing market at -1.6% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Harris County?

Home to the San Jacinto Battleground State Historic Site, where Texas won its independence, Harris County is located on the upper Gulf Coast in Southeast Texas. It encompasses 1,778 square miles, an area larger than the state of Rhode Island. The county seat, Houston, is the largest city in Texas. Commuting within the county is primarily done via a network of highways, with public transit options like METRO buses and Park & Ride services also available. The landscape transitions from coastal prairie in the south to rolling timberlands in the north, with numerous parks and bayous offering outdoor recreation opportunities.

Life in Harris County offers a diverse experience, with a population that is a mix of cultures, languages, and traditions. The county is served by over 20 school districts, including the Houston Independent School District, and is home to higher education institutions. The economy is driven by sectors such as energy, advanced manufacturing, life sciences, logistics, and aerospace. Major investments in these areas contribute to job opportunities, attracting a workforce that supports these industries.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
2.4x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+3.8%

Above national median

Home Prices
-2.5%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
-0.0

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Below national median (13x)

Housing looks undervalued at 2.4x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Memorial Hermann Health System Healthcare
    25,000+
  2. 2
    Houston Methodist Healthcare
  3. 3
    UT MD Anderson Cancer Center Healthcare
  4. 4
    Amazon Logistics
    10,000+
  5. 5
    City of Houston Government
  6. 6
    Harris County Government
  7. 7
    ExxonMobil Energy
  8. 8
    UTHealth Houston Healthcare
  9. 9
    Chevron Corp. Energy
  10. 10
    United Airlines Hospitality

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Harris County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
4,726,177
+0.6% YoY
Median Household Income
$70,789
Median Home Value
$235,300
-2.51% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,269
Average Annual Pay
$88,554
+4.3% YoY
Employment
2,445,972
+1.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3008
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.01%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
33.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$303,090
Days on Market
73
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.2
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.5%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
11.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
31.0%
Building Permits (2024)
29,936
Single-Family Permits
20,087

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
10.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
16.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
69.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

D
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
60.7
Moderate
Good Air Days
15%
165 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
100
Includes 1 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
58
2022
60
2023
64
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,474M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
TIRZ 24 Infrastructure and Investment Study Projects
Harris County Redevelopment Authority and TIRZ 24
$715M Planned
NRG Greens Bayou Natural Gas Plant Expansion
NRG Energy, Inc.
$617M Planned
Beacon Storage (Battery Project)
Undisclosed
$409M Planned
NRG T H Wharton Natural Gas Facility
NRG Energy, Inc.
$360M Planned
HOU2 Data Center
TRG Datacenters
$240M Under Construction
Destiny Storage Project (Battery Energy Storage System)
Cypress Creek Renewables
$133M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +3.8% 70 percentile
Population Growth +0.6% 57 percentile
Income Growth +7.6% 28 percentile
Vacancy Rate 2.4% 4 percentile
Home Price Change -2.5% 12 percentile
Rent Growth -0.8% 6 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 62 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Harris County, TX a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Harris County scores just 7/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #921 of 996 counties. Job growth at +1.0% and median household income of $70,789 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Harris County affordable?

Housing in Harris County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $235,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.30, with rents averaging $1,269/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Harris County growing or shrinking?

Harris County's population is growing — up +0.6% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +1.0%). Home values shifted -2.5% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Harris County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.01% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Harris County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Comal County, TX 6 Rockwall County, TX 6 Bell County, TX 9 Cherokee County, TX 9 Tarrant County, TX 10 Waller County, TX 4 San Diego County, CA 7 Miami-Dade County, FL 10