RANK #954 / 1001 NAT · #56 / 72 TX · POP 52,652
1YR FORECAST: -3.2%
5YR OUTLOOK: +8%
Burnet County ranks #954 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index. Several economic headwinds are weighing on this county's growth outlook. Detailed narrative coming soon.
Overvalued relative to economy
Prices declining
Above national median (15x)
Housing looks overvalued at 18.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.
Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).
Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →
Source: Homicide rates from CDC/NCHS vital-statistics mortality data — a multi-year average that stabilizes counts in smaller counties — compiled in the County Health Rankings 2025 release. Rates per 100,000 population; U.S. average ≈ 6.5. Grade reflects homicide rate relative to the national average. Learn more →
See where Burnet County stands nationally: safest large counties in America · highest homicide-rate counties · counties where safety is improving.
Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.
The data is not encouraging — Burnet County scores just 4/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #954 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +1.6% and median household income of $78,732 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.
Burnet County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $344,000 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.23 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,319/month on average.
Burnet County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +3.1% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.6% clip. Home values shifted -2.1% in the past year.
In significant numbers — 6.28% of Burnet County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.