RANK #299 / 1001 NAT · #12 / 72 TX · POP 91,413
1YR FORECAST: -1.2%
5YR OUTLOOK: +32%
Victoria County, Texas, known as the "Cradle of the Texas Cattle Industry," offers a blend of historical depth and natural beauty. Located on the Coastal Plain in southeastern Texas, Victoria, the county seat, is approximately 120 miles from Houston, 102 miles from San Antonio, and 75 miles from Corpus Christi, earning it the nickname "crossroads of South Texas." The Guadalupe River, a central feature, provides opportunities for fishing, kayaking, and boating. The county's landscape includes coastal prairie, oak forests, and diverse vegetation, with Riverside Park offering 562 acres of woodlands, trails, and picnic areas. Life in Victoria County is characterized by a community-focused atmosphere and access to outdoor activities. Victoria Independent School District serves a large portion of the county's students, alongside other districts like Bloomington ISD and Nursery ISD. The local economy is driven by sectors such as manufacturing, with ongoing efforts to support small businesses and attract new development. Recent projects include investments in mental and behavioral health facilities and upgrades to the regional airport, enhancing local amenities and connectivity.
Victoria County is one of 75 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -0.9% runs below the profile's typical +0.8%.
See all 75 Affordable Slow Markets counties →Overvalued relative to economy
Prices declining
Below-average climate & terrain
Below national median (15x)
Housing looks overvalued at 9.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.
Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.
Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).
Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →
Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →
Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →
| PROJECT | AMOUNT | STATUS |
|---|---|---|
|
Crusoe Victoria Data Center & Blue Energy Nuclear Plant
Crusoe, Blue Energy
|
$1,500M | Planned |
|
Crossroads Wind Project
Undisclosed
|
$277M | Planned |
|
First Ammonia Green Ammonia Production Facility
First Ammonia
|
$275M | Proposed |
|
Oriana Solar Project
Sabanci Renewables, Advanced Power (previous owner)
|
$232M | Under Construction |
|
Green Energy Origin (GEO) Battery Materials Manufacturing Facility
Green Energy Origin (GEO)
|
$150M | Under Construction |
|
Victoria Village Shopping Center
Victoria Exchange Development, Sundance Construction
|
$25M | Under Construction |
Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.
Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.
With a Boom Town Index score of 70/100, Victoria County sits in the upper half of all 1001 ranked counties. and median household income stands at $70,896 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in TX.
Housing in Victoria County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $209,900 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.34, with rents averaging $1,157/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.
Population and employment in Victoria County are both close to flat — population +0.1% YoY and jobs -0.4%. Home values shifted -0.9% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.
There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.09% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Victoria County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.