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Victoria County, TX

RANK #438 / 996 NAT  ·  #21 / 69 TX  ·  POP 91,209

1YR FORECAST: -0.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +25%

Victoria County's housing market is projected to grow -0.5% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why Victoria County?

Victoria County, Texas, known as the "Cradle of the Texas Cattle Industry," offers a blend of historical depth and natural beauty. Located on the Coastal Plain in southeastern Texas, Victoria, the county seat, is approximately 120 miles from Houston, 102 miles from San Antonio, and 75 miles from Corpus Christi, earning it the nickname "crossroads of South Texas." The Guadalupe River, a central feature, provides opportunities for fishing, kayaking, and boating. The county's landscape includes coastal prairie, oak forests, and diverse vegetation, with Riverside Park offering 562 acres of woodlands, trails, and picnic areas. Life in Victoria County is characterized by a community-focused atmosphere and access to outdoor activities. Victoria Independent School District serves a large portion of the county's students, alongside other districts like Bloomington ISD and Nursery ISD. The local economy is driven by sectors such as manufacturing, with ongoing efforts to support small businesses and attract new development. Recent projects include investments in mental and behavioral health facilities and upgrades to the regional airport, enhancing local amenities and connectivity.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
3.3x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+1.8%

Below national median

Home Prices
-2.2%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
-0.8

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (13x)

Housing looks undervalued at 3.3x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Formosa Plastics Manufacturing
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Victoria ISD Education
    1,000+
  3. 3
    The Inteplast Group Manufacturing
  4. 4
    University of Houston-Victoria Education
  5. 5
    Citizens Medical Center Healthcare
  6. 6
    Regency Post Acute Healthcare System Healthcare
    500+
  7. 7
    INVISTA Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Caterpillar-NAHEX Victoria Manufacturing
  9. 9
    County of Victoria Government
  10. 10
    DOW Seadrift Operations Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Victoria County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
91,209
-0.08% YoY
Median Household Income
$66,308
Median Home Value
$181,200
-2.21% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,084
Average Annual Pay
$55,837
+1.0% YoY
Employment
37,113
-0.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3659
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.26%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
19.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$244,500
Days on Market
80
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.4
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.8%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
7.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
25.6%
Building Permits (2024)
43
Single-Family Permits
33

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
6.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
18.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
68.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
31.0
Good
Good Air Days
96%
1,034 of 1,074 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
0
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
32
2022
30
2023
31
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,459M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Crusoe Victoria Data Center & Blue Energy Nuclear Plant
Crusoe, Blue Energy
$1,500M Planned
Crossroads Wind Project
Undisclosed
$277M Planned
First Ammonia Green Ammonia Production Facility
First Ammonia
$275M Proposed
Oriana Solar Project
Sabanci Renewables, Advanced Power (previous owner)
$232M Under Construction
Green Energy Origin (GEO) Battery Materials Manufacturing Facility
Green Energy Origin (GEO)
$150M Under Construction
Victoria Village Shopping Center
Victoria Exchange Development, Sundance Construction
$25M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +1.8% 30 percentile
Population Growth -0.1% 26 percentile
Income Growth +9.4% 71 percentile
Vacancy Rate 2.3% 5 percentile
Home Price Change -2.2% 13 percentile
Rent Growth +1.6% 28 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 57 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Victoria County, TX a good place to move to?

Victoria County scores 56/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 996 U.S. counties (#438). Median household income is $66,308 and job growth is running at -0.9%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Victoria County affordable?

By national standards, Victoria County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $181,200, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.37 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,084/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Victoria County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Victoria County are both close to flat — population -0.1% YoY and jobs -0.9%. Home values shifted -2.2% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Victoria County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.26% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Victoria County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Nueces County, TX 51 Randall County, TX 51 Midland County, TX 62 Cameron County, TX 50 Gregg County, TX 63 Johnson County, TX 49 Caldwell County, NC 56 Klamath County, OR 56