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Jefferson County, TX

Port Arthur

RANK #273 / 996 NAT  ·  #13 / 69 TX  ·  POP 254,942

1YR FORECAST: -0.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +30%

#8 Highest GDP Growth #12 Most Undervalued
Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Jefferson County at -0.6% over the next year.

[01] Why Jefferson County?

Jefferson County, Texas, is known for its position within the "Golden Triangle" alongside Port Arthur and Orange, a hub for manufacturing and petrochemical production. Located in Southeast Texas, approximately 90 miles east of Houston and 23 miles west of Louisiana, the county offers a blend of coastal plains and forested areas. The Neches River forms its northeastern boundary, and a series of lakes and Gulf Coast beaches provide opportunities for outdoor recreation like fishing, kayaking, and birding. Notable towns include Beaumont, the county seat, and Port Arthur. Commute options primarily involve extensive highway networks, including Interstate 10, and local transit services are available in some areas.

Life in Jefferson County is characterized by a mix of families and long-time residents, with public schools generally considered above average. The economy is largely driven by its deepwater ports and industrial sectors, particularly petrochemicals and shipbuilding. Recent years have seen substantial industrial expansion, attracting investments and creating jobs across energy and manufacturing. The county is also exploring diversification into other industries.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
1.8x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+12.4%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+2.4%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
1.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
10x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks undervalued at 1.8x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Walmart Retail
    10,000+
  2. 2
    McDonald's Hospitality
  3. 3
    Amazon Logistics
    2,500+
  4. 4
    ExxonMobil (Beaumont facilities) Energy
    1,000+
  5. 5
    Motiva Enterprises Energy
  6. 6
    Beaumont Unified School District Education
  7. 7
    Valero (Port Arthur refinery) Energy
    500+
  8. 8
    CJ Foods Manufacturing
  9. 9
    BASF Corp. Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Total Petrochemicals and Refining USA Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Jefferson County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
254,942
-0.71% YoY
Median Household Income
$57,294
Median Home Value
$151,500
+2.36% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,004
Average Annual Pay
$69,970
+5.4% YoY
Employment
124,861
+4.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3782
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.33%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
19.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$202,500
Days on Market
56
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
4.5
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.3%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
3.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
23.2%
Building Permits (2024)
356
Single-Family Permits
336

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
12.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
19.8
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
85.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
48.7
Good
Good Air Days
52%
574 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
17
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
48
2023
54
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$57,220M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Industrial Infrastructure Expansion Projects (various)
Various (including Chevron)
$56,000M Under Construction
Port Arthur LNG Facility
Sempra Infrastructure
$1,000M Under Construction
Willow Marsh Renewable Energy Center
US Solar
$120M Planned
Jefferson Energy Terminal Expansion
Jefferson Energy Companies
$50M Operating
Coastal Restoration Projects
Jefferson County
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +12.4% 99 percentile
Population Growth -0.7% 6 percentile
Income Growth +6.9% 16 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 45 percentile
Home Price Change +2.4% 64 percentile
Rent Growth +4.6% 74 percentile
Price/Rent 10x 90 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Jefferson County, TX a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 72/100, Jefferson County sits in the upper half of all 996 ranked counties. Employment is expanding at +4.8%, and median household income stands at $57,294 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in TX.

Is Jefferson County affordable?

By national standards, Jefferson County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $151,500, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.38 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,004/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Jefferson County growing or shrinking?

It's a mixed picture in Jefferson County. The population is declining (-0.7% YoY), but employers are actually hiring — job growth is at +4.8%. Home values moved +2.4% in the last year. That tension between shrinking population and expanding employment often signals a county in transition.

Are people moving to Jefferson County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.33% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Jefferson County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Navarro County, TX 71 Van Zandt County, TX 71 Wichita County, TX 68 Liberty County, TX 67 Angelina County, TX 64 Gregg County, TX 63 Schenectady County, NY 72 Lebanon County, PA 72