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Polk County, TX

RANK #715 / 1001 NAT  ·  #41 / 72 TX  ·  POP 52,800

1YR FORECAST: -1.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +25%

Our model projects Polk County's housing market at -1.6% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Polk County?

Polk County, Texas, is defined by Lake Livingston, one of the largest lakes in Texas, offering 450 miles of shoreline and extensive water recreation opportunities like fishing, boating, and swimming. Located in the East Texas Timberlands, approximately 75 miles northeast of Houston, the county seat of Livingston serves as a central hub. The area features rolling hills and pine forests, providing a rural atmosphere. Commutes to Houston are possible via US Highway 59/I-69. The Alabama-Coushatta Indian Reservation, the oldest in Texas, is also located in Polk County.

Life in Polk County often appeals to retirees and families seeking a quieter lifestyle. The economy has historically relied on timber, with new investments in wood product manufacturing continuing this trend. Healthcare is another expanding sector, with facilities like CHI St. Luke's Health Memorial Livingston serving the growing population. Tourism and hospitality around Lake Livingston also contribute to the local economy, with opportunities for camping, fishing, and various water sports. Public education is provided by several independent school districts, including Livingston, Onalaska, and Corrigan-Camden.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction

Polk County is one of 76 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -2.0% runs above the profile's typical -3.7%.

See all 76 Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
13.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-2.0%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
1.8

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 13.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Livingston ISD Education
    500+
  2. 2
    Wal-Mart Super Center Retail
    250+
  3. 3
    CHI St. Luke's Health Memorial Livingston Healthcare
  4. 4
    Polk County Government Government
  5. 5
    Alabama-Coushatta Tribe of Texas (Naskila Entertainment Center) Hospitality
  6. 6
    Georgia Pacific Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Lowe's Home Improvement Retail
  8. 8
    Brookshire Brothers Retail
  9. 9
    Corrigan-Camden ISD Education
  10. 10
    Onalaska ISD Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Polk County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
52,800
+1.97% YoY
Median Household Income
$62,259
Median Home Value
$184,800
-1.97% 12mo
Median Rent
$987
Average Annual Pay
$53,552
+5.3% YoY
Employment
13,117
+2.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3369
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
9.23%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
16.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$236,522
Days on Market
75
Slower market
Months of Supply
10.1
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.8%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
5.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
28.3%
Building Permits (2025)
661
Single-Family Permits
661

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
12.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
27.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
122.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
33.0
Good
Good Air Days
95%
986 of 1,037 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
0
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
30
2022
32
2023
37
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$633M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Corrigan OSB Manufacturing Facility
Corrigan OSB, L.L.C. (RoyOMartin)
$211M Under Construction
Umbriel Solar Facility
Longroad Energy
$202M Operating
Segno Solar Facility
Entergy Texas, Inc. (ETI)
$170M Proposed
Broadband and Fiber Infrastructure Expansion
Polk County, Eastex Telephone
$50M Completed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +2.0% 87 percentile
Income Growth +5.4% 93 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.4% 21 percentile
Home Price Change -2.0% 12 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 47 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Polk County, TX a good place to move to?

At 28/100, Polk County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $62,259 combined with job growth of +2.3% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Polk County affordable?

Housing in Polk County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $184,800 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.34, with rents averaging $987/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Polk County growing or shrinking?

Polk County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.0% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.3% clip. Home values shifted -2.0% in the past year.

Are people moving to Polk County?

In significant numbers — 9.23% of Polk County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Angelina County, TX 29 Guadalupe County, TX 30 Ector County, TX 26 McLennan County, TX 32 Tarrant County, TX 32 Hidalgo County, TX 24 Carter County, TN 28 Tipton County, TN 28