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Carter County, TN

District 7

RANK #924 / 996 NAT  ·  #32 / 33 TN  ·  POP 56,315

1YR FORECAST: -0.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +10%

Our model projects Carter County's housing market at -0.7% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Carter County?

Carter County, Tennessee, is distinguished by its deep historical roots and stunning Appalachian scenery. Located in the state's northeast corner, with Elizabethton as its county seat, it sits about an hour from Asheville, North Carolina, and 40 minutes from Bristol. The community offers a relaxed pace of life, with most residents owning their homes. Outdoor recreation is a major draw, featuring Roan Mountain State Park, known for its rhododendron gardens and Appalachian Trail access, along with opportunities for hiking, fishing, and kayaking on the Doe and Watauga Rivers. The historic Elizabethton Covered Bridge, dating to 1882, is a local landmark. Life in Carter County often appeals to those seeking a quieter lifestyle with access to nature. Public transportation is available through NET Trans, serving an eight-county region. The local economy is supported by manufacturing, healthcare, and retail, with companies like Snap-on expanding operations in Elizabethton. The county also emphasizes workforce development, collaborating with local schools and higher education institutions like Milligan University and Tennessee College of Applied Technology-Elizabethton.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.9x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+4.4%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-1.1%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
2.9

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
17x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.9x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Mountain States Health Alliance Healthcare
    2,500+
  2. 2
    East Tennessee State University Education
    1,000+
  3. 3
    James H. Quillen VA Medical Center Healthcare
  4. 4
    Snap-on Tools Manufacturing
    500+
  5. 5
    Sycamore Shoals Hospital Healthcare
  6. 6
    Borla Performance Industries Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Mapes Piano String Company Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Carter County Government/Schools Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Carter County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
56,315
0.0% YoY
Median Household Income
$47,994
Median Home Value
$145,000
-1.09% 12mo
Median Rent
$727
Average Annual Pay
$47,576
+6.7% YoY
Employment
12,025
+1.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.331
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.42%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
21.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$238,700
Days on Market
89
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.4
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.0%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
16.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
30.8%
Building Permits (2024)
177
Single-Family Permits
169

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
5.8
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
24.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
129.2
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$44M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Snap-on Manufacturing Expansion
Snap-on Incorporated
$44M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +4.4% 78 percentile
Population Growth 0.0% 30 percentile
Income Growth +8.4% 47 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 67 percentile
Home Price Change -1.1% 21 percentile
Price/Rent 17x 22 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Carter County, TN a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Carter County scores just 6/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #924 of 996 counties. Job growth at +1.6% and median household income of $47,994 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Carter County affordable?

Housing in Carter County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $145,000 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.33, with rents averaging $727/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Carter County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Carter County are hiring — job growth of +1.6% — but the population is close to flat (0.0% YoY). Home values moved -1.1% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Carter County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.42% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Carter County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Tipton County, TN 11 Davidson County, TN 1 Sullivan County, TN 14 Montgomery County, TN 16 Cumberland County, TN 20 Robertson County, TN 22 Pender County, NC 6 Haywood County, NC 5