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San Patricio County, TX

Portland-Gregory

RANK #876 / 996 NAT  ·  #51 / 69 TX  ·  POP 68,942

1YR FORECAST: -1.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +13%

Our model projects San Patricio County's housing market at -1.9% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why San Patricio County?

San Patricio County, Texas, is known for its coastal access and agricultural roots, with towns like Portland offering bay views and Sinton serving as the county seat. Located on the lower Gulf Coast, Sinton is about sixteen miles north of Corpus Christi, making it a reasonable commute for those working in the larger city. The county's landscape features flat coastal plains, mesquite, and live oak trees, with some rolling caliche hills in the western areas. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with opportunities for fishing and bird-watching in its coastal wetlands. Lake Corpus Christi, near Mathis, provides freshwater recreation, including fishing and boating. The county also has various parks and trails, such as the Sunset Lake Park Trail in Portland.

Life in San Patricio County offers a blend of coastal living and agricultural community. The public schools in the county are generally considered above average. Commute options include local public transportation provided by the Corpus Christi Regional Transportation Authority (CCRTA) and REAL Transit, which also offers services to surrounding counties and Corpus Christi. The economy is diverse, driven by agriculture, with a significant portion of the county's land dedicated to farming and ranching. Major investments in energy, chemical, and manufacturing sectors are also shaping the economic landscape, with large industrial sites under development.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
3.8x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
-4.9%

Contracting economy

Home Prices
-0.2%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
2.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
10x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks undervalued at 3.8x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Kiewit Offshore Services Other
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Bay Ltd. Other
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Flint Hills Resources Energy
  4. 4
    Steel Dynamics Manufacturing
    500+
  5. 5
    Gregory Portland ISD Education
  6. 6
    Gulf Coast Growth Ventures (ExxonMobil and SABIC joint venture) Manufacturing
  7. 7
    San Patricio County Government
  8. 8
    Oxy Energy
  9. 9
    Chemours Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Cheniere Energy

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

San Patricio County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
68,942
+0.5% YoY
Median Household Income
$63,842
Median Home Value
$163,900
-0.19% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,265
Average Annual Pay
$63,090
-0.2% YoY
Employment
21,522
-7.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3895
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.25%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
17.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Building Permits (2024)
471
Single-Family Permits
471

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
17.6
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
69.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$14,630M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Cheniere LNG Terminal (Stage 1)
Cheniere Energy, Inc.
$13,000M Under Construction
ArcelorMittal Direct Reduction Plant
ArcelorMittal
$740M Operating
Battery Storage Portfolio (Pintail, TOLSTA BESS, Pathfinder Energy Storage)
Lydian Energy, Undisclosed
$440M Planned
El Algodon Alto Wind Farm
RWE Renewables
$200M Operating
Peacock Solar Farm
Lightsource bp
$187M Operating
San Patricio County Judicial Building
San Patricio County
$63M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth -4.9% 1 percentile
Population Growth +0.5% 52 percentile
Income Growth +7.2% 21 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.2% 44 percentile
Home Price Change -0.2% 29 percentile
Price/Rent 10x 88 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is San Patricio County, TX a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — San Patricio County scores just 11/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #876 of 996 counties. Job growth at -7.8% and median household income of $63,842 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is San Patricio County affordable?

By national standards, San Patricio County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $163,900, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.39 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,265/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is San Patricio County growing or shrinking?

San Patricio County's job market is contracting (-7.8% YoY) while population is roughly stable (+0.5% change). Home values are -0.2% over the past 12 months. Hiring headwinds without an offsetting exodus — residents are staying, but local employers are shedding payroll.

Are people moving to San Patricio County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.25% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests San Patricio County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Hunt County, TX 12 Henderson County, TX 12 Tarrant County, TX 10 Kaufman County, TX 13 Bell County, TX 9 Cherokee County, TX 9 Tipton County, TN 11 Lancaster County, SC 11