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Starr County, TX

RANK #661 / 1001 NAT  ·  #36 / 72 TX  ·  POP 66,067

1YR FORECAST: +0.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +26%

Our model projects Starr County's housing market at +0.3% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Starr County?

The Roma Historic District, a National Historic Landmark, distinguishes Starr County with its preserved 19th-century border town architecture, showcasing unique molded brickwork and wrought iron balconies influenced by German architect Heinrich Portscheller. Located in South Texas, Starr County sits along the Rio Grande, approximately 100 miles from larger cities like Brownsville and Laredo. The community maintains a close-knit feel, with local events like the Starr County Fair and Fourth of July Parade. Outdoor recreation opportunities are available at Falcon State Park, offering birdwatching, fishing, and lake access, and the Roma Bluffs World Birding Center.

Life in Starr County is characterized by a strong sense of community, with many families owning their homes. Public schools in the county, including those in Rio Grande City and Roma, are considered above average. Commuting within Rio Grande City averages 23.1 minutes, shorter than the national average. The local economy is experiencing investment in energy, infrastructure, and government sectors. These developments aim to create more opportunities for residents, including those seeking skilled trades and engineering professions.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Starr County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices -1.5% YoY, population +0.4%, wages +5.3%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
10.0x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-1.5%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
2.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
11x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 10.0x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Rio Grande City CISD Education
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Roma ISD Education
  3. 3
    Starr County Memorial Hospital Healthcare
    500+
  4. 4
    Prestige Home Care Healthcare
    250+
  5. 5
    U.S. Border Patrol Government
  6. 6
    Starr County Government
  7. 7
    HEB Retail
  8. 8
    Starr Home Health Agency Healthcare
  9. 9
    Angelitos Home Health Agency Healthcare
  10. 10
    With Open Arms Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Starr County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
66,067
+0.39% YoY
Median Household Income
$37,639
Median Home Value
$95,100
-1.48% 12mo
Median Rent
$726
Average Annual Pay
$41,878
+5.3% YoY
Employment
15,052
+2.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3958
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.11%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
13.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$204,000
Days on Market
96
Slower market
Months of Supply
12.3
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.9%
Negotiation room for buyers
Listings w/ Price Drops
10.2%

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
7.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
40.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$1,320M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Cascabel Wind Project
BORDAS Renewable Energy
$400M Planned
Mesteño Wind Project
Deriva Energy (formerly E.ON Climate & Renewables)
$300M Operating
State Loop 195 (SL 195) Relief Route
TxDOT and RPM xConstruction
$240M Under Construction
Starr Solar Farm
Lightsource bp
$230M Operating
Border Barrier System
U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP)
$100M Proposed
Las Americas Industrial Park
City of Roma
$50M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.4% 39 percentile
Income Growth -1.4% 2 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.2% 31 percentile
Home Price Change -1.5% 15 percentile
Price/Rent 11x 94 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Starr County, TX a good place to move to?

At 33/100, Starr County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $37,639 combined with job growth of +2.1% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Starr County affordable?

By national standards, Starr County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $95,100, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.40 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $726/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Starr County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Starr County are hiring — job growth of +2.1% — but the population is close to flat (+0.4% YoY). Home values moved -1.5% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Starr County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.11% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Starr County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

McLennan County, TX 32 Tarrant County, TX 32 Hood County, TX 35 Guadalupe County, TX 30 Hunt County, TX 37 Angelina County, TX 29 Cherokee County, SC 33 Calumet County, WI 33