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Starr County, TX

Rio Grande City

RANK #826 / 996 NAT  ·  #45 / 69 TX  ·  POP 65,716

1YR FORECAST: +0.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +15%

Our model projects Starr County's housing market at +0.7% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Starr County?

The Roma Historic District, a National Historic Landmark, distinguishes Starr County with its preserved 19th-century border town architecture, showcasing unique molded brickwork and wrought iron balconies influenced by German architect Heinrich Portscheller. Located in South Texas, Starr County sits along the Rio Grande, approximately 100 miles from larger cities like Brownsville and Laredo. The community maintains a close-knit feel, with local events like the Starr County Fair and Fourth of July Parade. Outdoor recreation opportunities are available at Falcon State Park, offering birdwatching, fishing, and lake access, and the Roma Bluffs World Birding Center.

Life in Starr County is characterized by a strong sense of community, with many families owning their homes. Public schools in the county, including those in Rio Grande City and Roma, are considered above average. Commuting within Rio Grande City averages 23.1 minutes, shorter than the national average. The local economy is experiencing investment in energy, infrastructure, and government sectors. These developments aim to create more opportunities for residents, including those seeking skilled trades and engineering professions.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.7x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
-2.9%

Contracting economy

Home Prices
-3.0%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
2.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
11x

Strong rental yield

Housing is fairly valued at 4.7x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Rio Grande City CISD Education
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Roma ISD Education
  3. 3
    Starr County Memorial Hospital Healthcare
    500+
  4. 4
    Prestige Home Care Healthcare
    250+
  5. 5
    U.S. Border Patrol Government
  6. 6
    Starr County Government
  7. 7
    HEB Retail
  8. 8
    Starr Home Health Agency Healthcare
  9. 9
    Angelitos Home Health Agency Healthcare
  10. 10
    With Open Arms Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Starr County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
65,716
+0.23% YoY
Median Household Income
$35,979
Median Home Value
$88,300
-3.04% 12mo
Median Rent
$670
Average Annual Pay
$39,754
+3.3% YoY
Employment
14,746
-1.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4075
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
1.84%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
12.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$300,500
Days on Market
226
Slower market
Months of Supply
22.0
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
90.0%
Negotiation room for buyers
Listings w/ Price Drops
12.5%

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
7.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
40.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$1,320M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Cascabel Wind Project
BORDAS Renewable Energy
$400M Planned
Mesteño Wind Project
Deriva Energy (formerly E.ON Climate & Renewables)
$300M Operating
State Loop 195 (SL 195) Relief Route
TxDOT and RPM xConstruction
$240M Under Construction
Starr Solar Farm
Lightsource bp
$230M Operating
Border Barrier System
U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP)
$100M Proposed
Las Americas Industrial Park
City of Roma
$50M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth -2.9% 2 percentile
Population Growth +0.2% 40 percentile
Income Growth +7.9% 35 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.4% 25 percentile
Home Price Change -3.0% 9 percentile
Price/Rent 11x 80 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Starr County, TX a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Starr County scores just 16/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #826 of 996 counties. Job growth at -1.8% and median household income of $35,979 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Starr County affordable?

By national standards, Starr County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $88,300, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.41 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $670/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Starr County growing or shrinking?

Starr County's job market is contracting (-1.8% YoY) while population is roughly stable (+0.2% change). Home values are -3.0% over the past 12 months. Hiring headwinds without an offsetting exodus — residents are staying, but local employers are shedding payroll.

Are many people relocating to Starr County?

Not particularly — 1.84% of Starr County's population moved in from another state, which is below the national average. Most residents are long-term locals rather than recent transplants.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Galveston County, TX 16 Polk County, TX 18 Ellis County, TX 18 Dallas County, TX 14 Maverick County, TX 19 Kaufman County, TX 13 Camden County, GA 16 Pulaski County, KY 15