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Clay County, MN

Moorhead

RANK #286 / 996 NAT  ·  #6 / 18 MN  ·  POP 65,307

1YR FORECAST: +0.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +29%

Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Clay County at +0.9% over the next year.

[01] Why Clay County?

Clay County, Minnesota, is often recognized for Moorhead, its largest city and county seat, which sits directly across the Red River from Fargo, North Dakota. This unique positioning means residents experience a bi-state metropolitan area with a combined population of over 200,000. Commuting across the river to Fargo for work or amenities is common, with options including personal vehicles and the MATBUS public transit system. The county's landscape transitions from flat, agricultural plains in the west to rolling hills and lakes in the east, offering outdoor recreation at places like Buffalo River State Park, known for its prairie preserves, hiking, and birdwatching.

Life in Clay County offers a blend of urban access and a quieter pace, appealing to families and those seeking a suburban or rural lifestyle. The local economy is driven by agriculture, education, and health services, with institutions like Minnesota State University Moorhead and Concordia College contributing to a vibrant academic and artistic environment. Public schools in Clay County are generally well-regarded, with Barnesville Elementary and Hawley Elementary among the top-ranked. Recent economic developments focus on sustainable growth, supporting local businesses, and attracting new industries through programs offered by the Clay County Economic Development Authority.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
7.1x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+1.0%

Well below national median

Home Prices
+3.1%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-4.2

Harsh climate or flat terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 7.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Sanford Health Healthcare
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Moorhead Area Public Schools / Minnesota State University Moorhead / Concordia College Education
    2,500+
  3. 3
    Essentia Health Healthcare
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Clay County Government Government
    250+
  5. 5
    Aldevron Manufacturing
  6. 6
    American Crystal Sugar Company Agriculture
    100+
  7. 7
    Walmart Retail
  8. 8
    Target Retail
  9. 9
    Menards Retail
  10. 10
    Viking Electric Supply Retail

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Clay County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
65,307
+0.51% YoY
Median Household Income
$75,006
Median Home Value
$241,400
+3.13% 12mo
Median Rent
$972
Average Annual Pay
$53,697
+3.9% YoY
Employment
19,702
-0.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3107
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.64%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
36.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Building Permits (2024)
269
Single-Family Permits
104

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
7.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
69.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +1.0% 17 percentile
Population Growth +0.5% 53 percentile
Income Growth +10.3% 84 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.7% 16 percentile
Home Price Change +3.1% 73 percentile
Rent Growth +4.2% 70 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 29 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Clay County, MN a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 71/100, Clay County sits in the upper half of all 996 ranked counties. and median household income stands at $75,006 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in MN.

Is Clay County affordable?

Housing in Clay County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $241,400 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.31, with rents averaging $972/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Clay County growing or shrinking?

Clay County's population is growing — up +0.5% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.1%). Home values shifted +3.1% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Clay County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.64% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Clay County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[08] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Chisago County, MN 70 Crow Wing County, MN 75 St. Louis County, MN 76 Ramsey County, MN 66 Blue Earth County, MN 79 Sherburne County, MN 80 Granville County, NC 71 Bradford County, PA 71