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Washington County, MN

RANK #775 / 1001 NAT  ·  #16 / 18 MN  ·  POP 276,238

1YR FORECAST: -0.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +24%

Our model projects Washington County's housing market at -0.2% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Washington County?

Stillwater, the county seat of Washington County, is known as the "Birthplace of Minnesota" due to a convention held there in 1848 that led to the creation of the Minnesota Territory. Located in the eastern part of the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area, Washington County borders Wisconsin along the scenic St. Croix River. Commuting to downtown St. Paul or Minneapolis typically takes under 30 minutes, with public transportation options including express buses and dial-a-ride services. The county offers extensive outdoor recreation, with over 5,000 acres of parkland, numerous lakes, and trails for hiking, biking, camping, and cross-country skiing.

Life in Washington County combines suburban amenities with access to natural landscapes. Many families and young professionals reside here, with public schools in districts like Mahtomedi and South Washington County receiving high ratings. The economy is diverse, with major employers including Andersen Windows and local school districts. The county is experiencing population growth, particularly among 25- to 34-year-olds, and actively supports small businesses and entrepreneurs through programs like Open to Business. Recent economic developments include investments in affordable housing and broadband infrastructure.

MARKET PROFILE

Educated Suburban Growth

Washington County is one of 110 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +2.1% matches the profile's typical +2.4%.

See all 110 Educated Suburban Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
19.1x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.1%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.6

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
18x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 19.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    UnitedHealth Group (UnitedHealthcare) Healthcare
  2. 2
    3M Manufacturing
  3. 3
    Target Retail
  4. 4
    Andersen Windows Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Washington County Government Government
  6. 6
    Independent School Districts (833, 834, 831) Education
  7. 7
    Woodwinds HealthEast Campus Healthcare
  8. 8
    C.H. Robinson Logistics
  9. 9
    Ecolab Other
  10. 10
    Cargill Agriculture

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Washington County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
276,238
+1.45% YoY
Median Household Income
$115,345
Median Home Value
$422,000
+2.14% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,710
Average Annual Pay
$63,358
+4.4% YoY
Employment
96,512
+0.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2733
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.86%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
49.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$430,000
Days on Market
22
Active market
Months of Supply
1.9
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.5%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
42.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
36.2%
Building Permits (2025)
2,382
Single-Family Permits
1,225

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
6.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
58.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
37.7
Good
Good Air Days
88%
611 of 694 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
9
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
35
2022
36
2023
42
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$50M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Community Solar Portfolio
Various (Scandia CSG LLC, Cypress Creek Renewables, Sherman Associates, Novel Energy Solutions, etc.)
$50M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.4% 78 percentile
Income Growth +0.8% 13 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 77 percentile
Home Price Change +2.1% 58 percentile
Rent Growth +3.5% 60 percentile
Price/Rent 18x 30 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Washington County, MN a good place to move to?

At 22/100, Washington County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $115,345 combined with job growth of +0.9% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Washington County affordable?

Housing in Washington County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $422,000 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.27, with rents averaging $1,710/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Washington County growing or shrinking?

Washington County's population is growing — up +1.4% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.9%). Home values shifted +2.1% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Washington County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.86% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Washington County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Scott County, MN 22 Olmsted County, MN 18 Dakota County, MN 27 Clay County, MN 32 Stearns County, MN 32 Carver County, MN 12 St. Clair County, IL 22 Sumter County, FL 22