80 / 100

Sherburne County, MN

Elk River

RANK #199 / 996 NAT  ·  #2 / 18 MN  ·  POP 97,820

1YR FORECAST: +1.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +32%

Our model projects Sherburne County's housing market to grow +1.2% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Sherburne County?

Sherburne County, Minnesota, distinguishes itself with the Sherburne National Wildlife Refuge and the Sand Dunes State Forest, offering extensive natural landscapes for outdoor enthusiasts. Located in central Minnesota, the county sits between the Minneapolis-St. Paul and St. Cloud metropolitan areas. Commute options include major highways like U.S. 10 and 169, providing four-lane access, and a commuter bus service (replacing the Northstar Line in January 2025) connecting towns like Elk River and Big Lake to downtown Minneapolis. The community feel varies from rural to suburban, with cities like Elk River serving as the county seat.

Life in Sherburne County often involves a balance of suburban and rural living, attracting families and individuals seeking good schools and access to natural amenities. The county is home to multiple school districts, including Independent School District 728 and Becker Public School District. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with numerous county and city parks, lakes, and trails for hiking, biking, and water sports. Economically, the county has experienced growth, with a labor force projected to expand. Local economic development efforts focus on supporting entrepreneurship and existing businesses.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.1x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+3.2%

Above national median

Home Prices
+2.2%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-2.9

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 8.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    St. Cloud Area School District (ISD 742) Education
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Xcel Energy (Sherco) Energy
  3. 3
    CentraCare Health Systems / St. Cloud Hospital Healthcare
  4. 4
    Cargill Kitchen Solutions Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Crystal Cabinets Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Guardian Angels Senior Services Healthcare
  7. 7
    Sherburne County Government Government
  8. 8
    Coborn's Retail
  9. 9
    Electrolux Home Products Manufacturing
  10. 10
    New Flyer USA, Inc. Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Sherburne County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
97,820
+1.58% YoY
Median Household Income
$99,431
Median Home Value
$306,000
+2.23% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,166
Average Annual Pay
$57,774
+3.8% YoY
Employment
28,090
+1.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3249
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
7.0%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
27.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$384,900
Days on Market
62
Slower market
Months of Supply
3.4
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.4%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
37.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
15.4%
Building Permits (2024)
334
Single-Family Permits
268

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Firearm Fatalities
5.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
56.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +3.2% 61 percentile
Population Growth +1.6% 84 percentile
Income Growth +7.6% 29 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.3% 98 percentile
Home Price Change +2.2% 62 percentile
Rent Growth +6.2% 88 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 29 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Sherburne County, MN a good place to move to?

Sherburne County ranks #199 out of 996 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 80/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +1.7% and a median household income of $99,431 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Sherburne County affordable?

Housing in Sherburne County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $306,000 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.32, with rents averaging $1,166/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Sherburne County growing or shrinking?

Sherburne County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.6% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.7% clip. Home values shifted +2.2% in the past year.

Are people moving to Sherburne County?

In significant numbers — 7.0% of Sherburne County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[08] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Blue Earth County, MN 79 St. Louis County, MN 76 Crow Wing County, MN 75 Otter Tail County, MN 88 Clay County, MN 71 Chisago County, MN 70 Tuscarawas County, OH 80 St. Lawrence County, NY 80