29 / 100

Tompkins County, NY

Ithaca

RANK #698 / 996 NAT  ·  #43 / 45 NY  ·  POP 102,555

1YR FORECAST: +1.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +19%

Our model projects Tompkins County's housing market at +1.3% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Tompkins County?

Tompkins County, New York, is often recognized for its dramatic gorges and over 150 waterfalls, including Taughannock Falls, which stands taller than Niagara Falls. Located in the Finger Lakes Region of central New York, the county seat, Ithaca, sits at the southern tip of Cayuga Lake. This area, roughly four hours from New York City, blends rural landscapes with the cultural amenities of a college town, largely influenced by Cornell University and Ithaca College. Residents and visitors enjoy extensive outdoor recreation, from hiking and biking trails to water activities on Cayuga Lake.

Life in Tompkins County is shaped by its academic institutions, which draw a diverse population of students, faculty, and professionals. Public schools in the Ithaca City School District and other districts like Dryden and Lansing are highly rated. The economy is significantly driven by higher education, with Cornell University being the largest employer. Beyond academia, there's a growing focus on technology-oriented companies, particularly in areas like biotechnology, and a strong tourism sector that benefits from the region's natural beauty and culinary offerings. Local initiatives are also addressing quality of life concerns, such as the cost of living and access to childcare.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.2x

Below national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+3.0%

Above national median

Home Prices
+2.3%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.3

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
11x

Strong rental yield

Housing is fairly valued at 4.2x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Cornell University Education
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Cayuga Health System Healthcare
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Ithaca College Education
  4. 4
    Ithaca City School District Education
  5. 5
    BorgWarner Morse Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Racker Center Other
    500+
  7. 7
    Wegmans Retail
  8. 8
    Tompkins County Government
  9. 9
    Tompkins Cortland Community College Education
    250+
  10. 10
    City of Ithaca Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Tompkins County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
102,555
-2.92% YoY
Median Household Income
$69,995
Median Home Value
$264,300
+2.32% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,320
Average Annual Pay
$69,770
+2.3% YoY
Employment
48,051
+1.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2648
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
7.31%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
57.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$335,000
Days on Market
67
Slower market
Months of Supply
3.5
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.6%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
23.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
11.8%
Building Permits (2024)
337
Single-Family Permits
145

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Firearm Fatalities
4.3
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
58.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
35.3
Good
Good Air Days
94%
1,015 of 1,078 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
1
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
35
2022
36
2023
35
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$900M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
TeraWulf Data Center Campus
TeraWulf
$500M Proposed
Yellow Barn Solar PV Park
Yellow Barn Solar LLC (subsidiary of CS Energy), Lydian Energy
$200M Planned
Cayuga Solar Project
AES Corporation
$60M Planned
Emergency Shelter Construction Project
Tompkins County, Volunteers of America
$50M Planned
SouthWorks Redevelopment Project
City of Ithaca, Tompkins County
$50M Proposed
Troy Heights Energy Storage
Cleanview (developer not specified)
$40M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +3.0% 56 percentile
Income Growth +8.9% 62 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 51 percentile
Home Price Change +2.3% 63 percentile
Rent Growth +3.9% 66 percentile
Price/Rent 11x 77 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Tompkins County, NY a good place to move to?

At 29/100, Tompkins County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $69,995 combined with job growth of +1.6% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Tompkins County affordable?

Housing in Tompkins County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $264,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.26, with rents averaging $1,320/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Tompkins County growing or shrinking?

It's a mixed picture in Tompkins County. The population is declining (-2.9% YoY), but employers are actually hiring — job growth is at +1.6%. Home values moved +2.3% in the last year. That tension between shrinking population and expanding employment often signals a county in transition.

Are people moving to Tompkins County?

In significant numbers — 7.31% of Tompkins County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Orange County, NY 30 Rockland County, NY 32 Ulster County, NY 21 Richmond County, NY 38 Westchester County, NY 38 Albany County, NY 19 Josephine County, OR 29 Limestone County, AL 28