32 / 100

Pennington County, SD

RANK #670 / 1001 NAT  ·  POP 113,512

1YR FORECAST: +0.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +26%

Our model projects Pennington County's housing market at +0.0% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Pennington County?

Pennington County, South Dakota, is defined by its dramatic landscapes, from the rugged Black Hills in the west, home to Mount Rushmore, to the rolling prairies eastward. Rapid City, the county seat, serves as a central hub, approximately 130 miles west of Pierre. The community offers a blend of urban amenities and access to extensive outdoor recreation, including hiking, biking, fishing, and wildlife viewing in areas like Black Hills National Forest and Badlands National Park. Public transportation, like RapidRide in Rapid City, offers fixed routes, and Eastern Pennington County Transit provides services to smaller towns like Wall, Quinn, and Wasta, including shuttles to Rapid City. Life in Pennington County attracts families and young professionals, with public schools generally performing above average. The economy is supported by diverse sectors, including tourism, healthcare, and manufacturing. Recent economic trends indicate population growth, particularly in areas like Rapid City and Box Elder, partly due to the expansion of Ellsworth Air Force Base. This growth has created demand for more housing across the county. The area also sees ongoing development in technology and engineering, with local universities collaborating to create opportunities for graduates.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Sun Belt Exurban Boom

Pennington County is one of 43 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +1.8% runs above the profile's typical -0.0%.

See all 43 Sun Belt Exurban Boom counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
9.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.8%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
1.3

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
18x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 9.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Ellsworth Air Force Base Military
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Monument Health Healthcare
  3. 3
    Rapid City Regional Hospital Healthcare
  4. 4
    Rapid City Area Schools Education
  5. 5
    City of Rapid City Government
  6. 6
    Pennington County Government Government
  7. 7
    South Dakota School of Mines & Technology Education
  8. 8
    Western Dakota Technical College Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Pennington County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
113,512
+1.28% YoY
Median Household Income
$74,517
Median Home Value
$302,200
+1.84% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,120
Average Annual Pay
$59,768
+4.3% YoY
Employment
62,446
+0.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2466
Near national average
Migration Inflow
3.19%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
34.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$370,450
Days on Market
61
Slower market
Months of Supply
3.8
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.6%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
16.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
14.8%
Building Permits (2025)
563
Single-Family Permits
465

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
21.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
103.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
41.3
Good
Good Air Days
64%
698 of 1,093 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
18
Includes 1 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
39
2022
40
2023
45
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,605M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Philip Wind Project
Philip Wind Partners (Invenergy subsidiary)
$750M Planned
Data Center Development (Black Hills Industrial Center)
Various (e.g., Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Open AI)
$500M Proposed
Cheyenne River Ranch Wind and Solar Farm
Unknown
$227M Proposed
Wild Springs Solar Project
National Grid Renewables
$128M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.3% 74 percentile
Income Growth +5.3% 92 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 30 percentile
Home Price Change +1.8% 53 percentile
Rent Growth +2.6% 45 percentile
Price/Rent 18x 24 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Pennington County, SD a good place to move to?

At 32/100, Pennington County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $74,517 combined with job growth of +0.5% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Pennington County affordable?

Pennington County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $302,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.25 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,120/month on average.

Is Pennington County growing or shrinking?

Pennington County's population is growing — up +1.3% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.5%). Home values shifted +1.8% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Pennington County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.19% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Pennington County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Lincoln County, SD 34 Minnehaha County, SD 61 Merrimack County, NH 32 Wilson County, TN 32 Stearns County, MN 32 Clay County, MN 32 Navajo County, AZ 31 Kennebec County, ME 33