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Crow Wing County, MN

RANK #149 / 1001 NAT  ·  #1 / 18 MN  ·  POP 67,686

1YR FORECAST: +2.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +35%

Our model projects Crow Wing County's housing market to grow +2.2% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Crow Wing County?

Crow Wing County, Minnesota, known as "cabin country," is defined by its extensive network of over 400 lakes and 75 rivers, offering more than 2,000 miles of shoreline. Brainerd, the county seat and largest city, serves as a central hub within the Brainerd Lakes Area, a region that includes other notable towns like Baxter, Crosby, Nisswa, and Pequot Lakes. Located in east-central Minnesota, the county is approximately two hours north of the Twin Cities. The community feel across the county ranges from small-town charm to a relaxed, outdoor-oriented lifestyle, with ample opportunities for year-round recreation such as fishing, boating, hiking, and snowmobiling. The Paul Bunyan State Trail, a 115-mile paved rail-trail, runs through the county, further enhancing outdoor access. Life in Crow Wing County often revolves around its natural amenities, attracting both families and retirees. Public schools in the county are generally above average. The economy is driven by diverse industries, with healthcare and social assistance being a significant employer, accounting for one in five jobs. The county has experienced population growth, with a notable increase in residents aged 65 and older. Efforts are underway to address workforce housing needs through initiatives like the Crow Wing County Local Housing Trust Fund, which aims to finance affordable and mixed-income housing projects.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Crow Wing County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +3.0% YoY, population +0.8%, wages +4.4%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
12.0x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+3.0%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-2.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
26x

Speculative pricing

Housing looks overvalued at 12.0x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Essentia Health - Central Region Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Brainerd Public Schools Education
    500+
  3. 3
    Crow Wing County Government
  4. 4
    Grand View Lodge Hospitality
  5. 5
    Cragun's Resort on Gull Lake Hospitality
    250+
  6. 6
    Costco Retail
    100+
  7. 7
    Bethany Good Samaritan Healthcare
  8. 8
    Woodland Good Samaritan Healthcare
  9. 9
    Minnesota Care Healthcare
  10. 10
    Lindar Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Crow Wing County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
67,686
+0.85% YoY
Median Household Income
$72,589
Median Home Value
$306,800
+3.01% 12mo
Median Rent
$971
Average Annual Pay
$55,372
+4.4% YoY
Employment
31,146
+0.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2366
Near national average
Migration Inflow
3.21%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
29.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$367,400
Days on Market
36
Active market
Months of Supply
3.6
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.0%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
23.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
26.8%
Building Permits (2025)
625
Single-Family Permits
455

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Firearm Fatalities
9.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
94.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
38.7
Good
Good Air Days
79%
857 of 1,087 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
14
Includes 1 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
36
2022
37
2023
43
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.8% 61 percentile
Income Growth +1.8% 26 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.2% 100 percentile
Home Price Change +3.0% 67 percentile
Price/Rent 26x 2 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Crow Wing County, MN a good place to move to?

Crow Wing County ranks #149 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 85/100, placing it in the top tier nationally. Median household income is $72,589 and the underlying growth metrics (housing, migration, income) hold up against peer counties.

Is Crow Wing County affordable?

Crow Wing County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $306,800 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.24 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $971/month on average.

Is Crow Wing County growing or shrinking?

Crow Wing County's population is growing — up +0.8% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.3%). Home values shifted +3.0% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Crow Wing County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.21% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Crow Wing County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Otter Tail County, MN 78 Blue Earth County, MN 72 St. Louis County, MN 65 Chisago County, MN 63 Rice County, MN 57 Sherburne County, MN 54 Grant County, IN 85 Garfield County, OK 85