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Lake County, CA

Clearlake

RANK #956 / 996 NAT  ·  #38 / 43 CA  ·  POP 68,024

1YR FORECAST: -1.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +8%

#26 Best Climate & Terrain
Our model projects Lake County's housing market at -1.9% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Lake County?

Clear Lake, the largest natural freshwater lake entirely within California and potentially the oldest lake in North America, anchors Lake County, a rural region two hours north of San Francisco and Sacramento. The county seat, Lakeport, sits on its western shore, offering a small-town feel with Victorian-era buildings and a lakefront park. Mount Konocti, a dormant volcano, provides a dramatic backdrop and hiking opportunities. Outdoor recreation is a major draw, with activities like fishing, boating, hiking, and bird watching across numerous parks and trails, including Clear Lake State Park and Anderson Marsh State Historic Park. The area boasts a Mediterranean climate with mild winters and clean air.

Life in Lake County often appeals to those seeking a relaxed, family-focused lifestyle amidst natural beauty. While some residents commute to nearby urban areas, approximately 20% of the workforce travels outside the county for employment. The local economy is primarily driven by agriculture, tourism, and the geothermal power industry, with a notable winegrape-growing area. Recent economic development efforts focus on attracting new businesses and creating local job opportunities. However, the county has faced challenges from recurrent wildfires impacting tourism and housing. Public transportation is available through Lake Transit Authority, offering local and intercity routes.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
9.6x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+6.0%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-3.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
6.5

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 9.6x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Local Government (excluding Education and Hospitals) Government
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Health Care & Social Assistance Healthcare
    2,500+
  3. 3
    Retail Trade Retail
  4. 4
    Construction Other
  5. 5
    Education and Hospitals (Local Government) Government
  6. 6
    Adventist Health Healthcare
  7. 7
    Calpine Energy
  8. 8
    Sutter Health Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Lake County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
68,024
+0.41% YoY
Median Household Income
$56,259
Median Home Value
$291,300
-3.65% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,206
Average Annual Pay
$53,849
+6.2% YoY
Employment
17,522
+5.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1931
Near national average
Migration Inflow
4.77%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
18.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$336,500
Days on Market
108
Slower market
Months of Supply
9.0
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.6%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
21.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
18.6%
Building Permits (2024)
114
Single-Family Permits
72

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
8.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
17.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
179.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
32.3
Good
Good Air Days
98%
1,064 of 1,082 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
1
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
33
2022
32
2023
32
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +6.0% 90 percentile
Population Growth +0.4% 48 percentile
Income Growth +5.4% 5 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 72 percentile
Home Price Change -3.6% 6 percentile
Rent Growth +1.9% 33 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 30 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lake County, CA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Lake County scores just 3/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #956 of 996 counties. Job growth at +5.8% and median household income of $56,259 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Lake County affordable?

Lake County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $291,300 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.19 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,206/month on average.

Is Lake County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Lake County are hiring — job growth of +5.8% — but the population is close to flat (+0.4% YoY). Home values moved -3.6% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Lake County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.77% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Lake County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Santa Clara County, CA 3 Contra Costa County, CA 4 Ventura County, CA 2 San Mateo County, CA 2 Humboldt County, CA 1 Santa Barbara County, CA 1 Wise County, TX 3 Broomfield County, CO 3