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Lake County, CA

RANK #551 / 1001 NAT  ·  #33 / 43 CA  ·  POP 68,152

1YR FORECAST: +3.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: -5%

#26 Best Climate & Terrain
Lake County's housing market is projected to grow +3.7% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Lake County?

Clear Lake, the largest natural freshwater lake entirely within California and potentially the oldest lake in North America, anchors Lake County, a rural region two hours north of San Francisco and Sacramento. The county seat, Lakeport, sits on its western shore, offering a small-town feel with Victorian-era buildings and a lakefront park. Mount Konocti, a dormant volcano, provides a dramatic backdrop and hiking opportunities. Outdoor recreation is a major draw, with activities like fishing, boating, hiking, and bird watching across numerous parks and trails, including Clear Lake State Park and Anderson Marsh State Historic Park. The area boasts a Mediterranean climate with mild winters and clean air.

Life in Lake County often appeals to those seeking a relaxed, family-focused lifestyle amidst natural beauty. While some residents commute to nearby urban areas, approximately 20% of the workforce travels outside the county for employment. The local economy is primarily driven by agriculture, tourism, and the geothermal power industry, with a notable winegrape-growing area. Recent economic development efforts focus on attracting new businesses and creating local job opportunities. However, the county has faced challenges from recurrent wildfires impacting tourism and housing. Public transportation is available through Lake Transit Authority, offering local and intercity routes.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Lake County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices -2.2% YoY, population +0.0%, wages +3.9%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
22.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-2.2%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
6.5

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 22.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Local Government (excluding Education and Hospitals) Government
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Health Care & Social Assistance Healthcare
    2,500+
  3. 3
    Retail Trade Retail
  4. 4
    Construction Other
  5. 5
    Education and Hospitals (Local Government) Government
  6. 6
    Adventist Health Healthcare
  7. 7
    Calpine Energy
  8. 8
    Sutter Health Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Lake County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
68,152
+0.02% YoY
Median Household Income
$60,621
Median Home Value
$324,300
-2.21% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,368
Average Annual Pay
$55,972
+3.9% YoY
Employment
17,779
+1.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1869
Near national average
Migration Inflow
4.52%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
17.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$357,000
Days on Market
91
Slower market
Months of Supply
8.2
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.6%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
25.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
23.9%
Building Permits (2025)
85
Single-Family Permits
45

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
8.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
17.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
179.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
32.3
Good
Good Air Days
98%
1,064 of 1,082 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
1
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
33
2022
32
2023
32
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.0% 24 percentile
Income Growth +3.2% 62 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 46 percentile
Home Price Change -2.2% 9 percentile
Rent Growth +6.2% 87 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 38 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lake County, CA a good place to move to?

Lake County scores 44/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#551). Median household income is $60,621 and job growth is running at +1.5%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Lake County affordable?

Lake County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $324,300 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.19 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,368/month on average.

Is Lake County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Lake County are hiring — job growth of +1.5% — but the population is close to flat (+0.0% YoY). Home values moved -2.2% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Lake County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.52% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Lake County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Napa County, CA 44 Tuolumne County, CA 48 San Diego County, CA 55 Sonoma County, CA 56 San Luis Obispo County, CA 58 Stanislaus County, CA 30 Crow Wing County, MN 44 Van Buren County, MI 44