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San Diego County, CA

RANK #920 / 1001 NAT  ·  #33 / 43 CA  ·  POP 3,288,774

1YR FORECAST: -0.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +17%

#7 Best Climate & Terrain
Our model projects San Diego County's housing market at -0.7% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why San Diego County?

With over 70 miles of coastline and a mild Mediterranean climate, San Diego County is known for its outdoor lifestyle and diverse natural scenery. The county, located in the southwest corner of California bordering Mexico, is home to cities like Del Mar, known for its beaches and cliffs, and La Mesa, nicknamed "The Jewel of the Hills" for its topography and historic downtown. Commute options include major interstates, as well as the MTS bus and trolley system and the COASTER commuter train, which connects coastal communities. Residents have access to numerous parks, trails, and water activities, including beaches, Balboa Park, and the San Diego Botanic Garden.

Life in San Diego County offers a blend of urban amenities and natural escapes. The region attracts families, young professionals, and retirees, with public schools generally performing above average. The economy is driven by sectors such as healthcare and social assistance, which saw significant job growth in 2025. While the area experiences high housing costs, there is ongoing investment in commercial and residential development, energy, and infrastructure. San Diego County's diverse economy and strategic location contribute to its overall resilience.

MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

San Diego County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -1.5% runs below the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
21.4x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-1.5%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
9.8

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
24x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 21.4x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    United States Navy Military
    25,000+
  2. 2
    University of California San Diego (UCSD) Education
  3. 3
    Sharp Healthcare Healthcare
    10,000+
  4. 4
    County of San Diego Government
  5. 5
    Qualcomm Technology
  6. 6
    Scripps Health Healthcare
  7. 7
    San Diego Community College District Education
    5,000+
  8. 8
    Kaiser Permanente Healthcare
  9. 9
    General Atomics Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Cubic Corporation Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

San Diego County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
3,288,774
+0.18% YoY
Median Household Income
$106,268
Median Home Value
$854,700
-1.5% 12mo
Median Rent
$2,246
Average Annual Pay
$85,514
+3.2% YoY
Employment
1,535,816
0.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1243
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
1.77%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
43.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$925,000
Days on Market
24
Active market
Months of Supply
2.6
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.5%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
38.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
31.5%
Building Permits (2025)
11,707
Single-Family Permits
3,506

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
6.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
63.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

D
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
65.7
Moderate
Good Air Days
14%
155 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
86
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
67
2022
63
2023
67
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$8,048M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
San Diego International Airport Terminal 1 Expansion
San Diego County Regional Airport Authority
$3,800M Under Construction
Seaport San Diego
Undisclosed (Developer Group)
$3,600M Under Construction
SDG&E Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) Portfolio
San Diego Gas & Electric (SDG&E)
$482M Under Construction
Ocotillo Wells Solar and Battery Storage
VC Renewables
$66M Operating
DataBank SAN1 Data Center Expansion
DataBank
$50M Completed
Harmony Grove Village South
Undisclosed (Developer)
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.2% 30 percentile
Income Growth +3.9% 76 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 44 percentile
Home Price Change -1.5% 15 percentile
Rent Growth +1.3% 24 percentile
Price/Rent 24x 5 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is San Diego County, CA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — San Diego County scores just 7/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #920 of 1001 counties. median household income of $106,268 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is San Diego County affordable?

Affordability is a real challenge in San Diego County. The median home is valued at $854,700 — with an income-to-home-value ratio of just 0.12, that's significantly harder to afford than in most U.S. counties. Median rent runs $2,246/month.

Is San Diego County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in San Diego County are both close to flat — population +0.2% YoY and jobs 0.0%. Home values shifted -1.5% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are many people relocating to San Diego County?

Not particularly — 1.77% of San Diego County's population moved in from another state, which is below the national average. Most residents are long-term locals rather than recent transplants.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Nevada County, CA 6 Stanislaus County, CA 9 Alameda County, CA 9 Lake County, CA 9 Yolo County, CA 5 Napa County, CA 10 Harris County, TX 7 Maricopa County, AZ 8