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Lamar County, TX

RANK #974 / 1001 NAT  ·  #63 / 72 TX  ·  POP 50,669

1YR FORECAST: -0.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +6%

Our model projects Lamar County's housing market at -0.8% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Lamar County?

Lamar County, Texas, is perhaps best known for its county seat, Paris, which features a 65-foot-tall replica of the Eiffel Tower, uniquely topped with a red cowboy hat. Located in Northeast Texas, approximately 100 miles northeast of Dallas, the county offers a blend of small-town living and access to natural scenery. The gently rolling terrain is characterized by pasture and farmlands, with scattered timber. Residents and visitors can enjoy outdoor recreation at Pat Mayse Lake, a 6,000-acre reservoir popular for boating, fishing, and camping, as well as Lake Crook. The Trail de Paris, part of the larger Northeast Texas Trail, provides opportunities for walking, running, and non-powered wheeled activities.

Life in Lamar County generally offers a tranquil community atmosphere, with a mix of single-family homes and other housing options. The average commute time is under 20 minutes, and public schools in the county are rated above average. The local economy is supported by various sectors, including a notable concentration in manufacturing. Healthcare support occupations are also projected to see growth in the coming year. The county's workforce draws from a broad regional radius, contributing to its economic activity.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Lamar County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +1.9% YoY, population +0.5%, wages +2.4%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.5x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.9%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.4

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
18x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 8.5x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Paris Regional Health Healthcare
    500+
  2. 2
    Kimberly-Clark Corp. Manufacturing
  3. 3
    Campbell Soup Manufacturing
  4. 4
    The Results Company Other
    250+
  5. 5
    HWH (Harrison Walker & Harper) Other
  6. 6
    RK Hall Construction Other
    100+
  7. 7
    Delco Trailers Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Huhtamaki Manufacturing
  9. 9
    AMERICAN SpiralWeld Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Paris Print Works Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Lamar County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
50,669
+0.49% YoY
Median Household Income
$61,880
Median Home Value
$200,700
+1.94% 12mo
Median Rent
$949
Average Annual Pay
$53,747
+2.4% YoY
Employment
22,227
-0.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3083
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.86%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
21.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$213,000
Days on Market
80
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.0
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.9%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
7.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
35.6%
Building Permits (2025)
48
Single-Family Permits
44

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.5
Firearm Fatalities
19.2
per 100K · nat avg 13.4
Injury Deaths
83.6
per 100K · nat avg 83.6
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate
10-Year Trend
Down 30% since 2015
homicide rate, 2015 → 2025

Source: Homicide rates from CDC/NCHS vital-statistics mortality data — a multi-year average that stabilizes counts in smaller counties — compiled in the County Health Rankings 2025 release. Rates per 100,000 population; U.S. average ≈ 6.5. Grade reflects homicide rate relative to the national average. Learn more →

See where Lamar County stands nationally: safest large counties in America · highest homicide-rate counties · counties where safety is improving.

[06] Capital Investment

$1,275M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Mockingbird Solar Center
Ørsted
$500M Under Construction
Bug Tussle Wind Ranch
Bug Tussle Wind, LLC (Cielo Wind Power, LLC affiliate)
$300M Planned
Delilah I Solar Energy Center
Invenergy (majority owned by WEC Energy Group)
$300M Operating
Huhtamaki Expansion
Huhtamaki
$75M Planned
Ametsa Packaging, LLC Plant
Ametsa Packaging, LLC
$50M Operating
Universal Fabricating US Location
Universal Fabricating
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.5% 44 percentile
Income Growth +1.2% 18 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.4% 22 percentile
Home Price Change +1.9% 48 percentile
Price/Rent 18x 27 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lamar County, TX a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Lamar County scores just 2/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #974 of 1001 counties. Job growth at -0.6% and median household income of $61,880 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Lamar County affordable?

Housing in Lamar County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $200,700 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.31, with rents averaging $949/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Lamar County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Lamar County are both close to flat — population +0.5% YoY and jobs -0.6%. Home values shifted +1.9% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Lamar County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.86% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Lamar County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Collin County, TX 2 Rusk County, TX 2 Denton County, TX 2 Wise County, TX 3 Atascosa County, TX 3 Polk County, TX 3 McMinn County, TN 2 Athens County, OH 2