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Union County, NC

RANK #747 / 1001 NAT  ·  #39 / 51 NC  ·  POP 250,958

1YR FORECAST: -1.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +24%

Our model projects Union County's housing market at -1.0% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Union County?

Union County, North Carolina, offers a blend of rural landscapes and suburban amenities, situated in the southern Piedmont region, bordering South Carolina and just southeast of Charlotte. Locals often highlight the town of Waxhaw, known for its historic downtown and antique shops, or Cane Creek Park, a large water-based recreation area with a 350-acre lake for fishing, boating, and hiking. Commuting to Charlotte is feasible, with express bus services available from towns like Indian Trail and Monroe. The county maintains a community feel, with rolling hills and agricultural areas providing a scenic backdrop for outdoor activities.

Life in Union County attracts families and professionals seeking a balance between country living and access to urban conveniences. The public school system is highly rated, serving nearly 40,000 students across 53 schools. The economy, historically rooted in agriculture, has diversified, with significant growth in manufacturing, aerospace, and pharmaceutical sectors. This expansion is supported by workforce development initiatives and a focus on agribusiness, including a new Food Innovation Center designed to support local food production and entrepreneurs.

MARKET PROFILE

Sun Belt Exurban Boom

Union County is one of 43 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -0.2% matches the profile's typical -0.0%.

See all 43 Sun Belt Exurban Boom counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
20.5x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-0.2%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
-0.3

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
17x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 20.5x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Union County Public Schools Education
    25,000+
  2. 2
    Tyson Foods Agriculture
    2,500+
  3. 3
    Pilgrim's Pride Agriculture
  4. 4
    Union County Government Government
    1,000+
  5. 5
    ATI Specialty Materials Manufacturing
    500+
  6. 6
    Duke Foods Manufacturing
    250+
  7. 7
    Charlotte Pipe and Foundry Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Greiner Bio-One Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Union Power Cooperative Energy
  10. 10
    Collins Aerospace Monroe Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Union County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
250,958
+2.44% YoY
Median Household Income
$102,900
Median Home Value
$417,300
-0.22% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,496
Average Annual Pay
$65,467
+6.5% YoY
Employment
78,185
+5.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2466
Near national average
Migration Inflow
3.9%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
40.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$497,000
Days on Market
55
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.7
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.1%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
25.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
32.8%
Building Permits (2025)
2,707
Single-Family Permits
2,387

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.8
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
9.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
56.2
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
42.0
Good
Good Air Days
86%
628 of 733 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
2
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
42
2022
41
2023
43
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$337M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Advanced Manufacturing Facility (Project Seven)
Confidential Company
$200M Planned
Monroe Solar Facility
Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC
$60M Operating
Dymax Corporation Manufacturing Center
Dymax Corporation
$47M Planned
Briolf USA Manufacturing Center
Briolf USA LLC (Briolf Group)
$30M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +2.4% 91 percentile
Income Growth +3.7% 73 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.5% 93 percentile
Home Price Change -0.2% 25 percentile
Rent Growth +1.3% 23 percentile
Price/Rent 17x 35 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Union County, NC a good place to move to?

At 25/100, Union County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $102,900 combined with job growth of +5.2% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Union County affordable?

Union County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $417,300 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.25 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,496/month on average.

Is Union County growing or shrinking?

Union County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.4% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +5.2% clip. Home values shifted -0.2% in the past year.

Are people moving to Union County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.9% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Union County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Iredell County, NC 25 Lincoln County, NC 24 New Hanover County, NC 23 Cleveland County, NC 23 Cabarrus County, NC 32 Pender County, NC 18 Pueblo County, CO 25 Cumberland County, ME 24