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Carbon County, PA

RANK #193 / 1001 NAT  ·  #11 / 44 PA  ·  POP 65,382

1YR FORECAST: -0.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +33%

Our model projects Carbon County's housing market to grow -0.0% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Carbon County?

Jim Thorpe, often called "America's Little Switzerland," is a notable town in Carbon County, Pennsylvania, known for its Victorian architecture and dramatic mountain scenery. Located in northeastern Pennsylvania, approximately 90 miles west of New York City and 90 miles northeast of Philadelphia, the county offers a blend of historic charm and natural beauty. Commuting to nearby cities like Allentown is about 33 miles, while Philadelphia is around 80 miles, with bus services available. The community feel is often described as welcoming, with a focus on outdoor recreation. Over two-thirds of the county is state game land and state park land, providing extensive opportunities for hiking, biking, whitewater rafting on the Lehigh River, and exploring areas like Lehigh Gorge State Park and Mauch Chunk Lake Park.

Life in Carbon County attracts those seeking a connection to nature and a sense of history. The county's population has been growing, with many residents owning their homes. Educational options include five school districts and a county-wide technical school. The economy, historically rooted in coal, is now seeing investments in technology, industrial, and commercial sectors. Local initiatives support workforce training and infrastructure improvements, aiming to attract new businesses and expand existing ones. The top industries in the county include retail, healthcare, social assistance, and manufacturing.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Carbon County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +0.6% YoY, population +0.3%, wages +3.2%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
18.3x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.6%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.7

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 18.3x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Carbon County Government
    1,000+
  2. 2
    State Government Government
    250+
  3. 3
    St. Luke's Hospital Healthcare
  4. 4
    Blue Mountain Resort Hospitality
  5. 5
    Lehigh Valley Hospital Center Healthcare
  6. 6
    Walmart Associates Inc. Retail
  7. 7
    Behavioral Health Associates Healthcare
  8. 8
    Little Leaf Pa LLC Agriculture
  9. 9
    Blue Ridge Cable Technologies Inc. Technology
  10. 10
    Carbon County School Districts Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Carbon County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
65,382
+0.29% YoY
Median Household Income
$67,554
Median Home Value
$211,400
+0.61% 12mo
Median Rent
$994
Average Annual Pay
$46,187
+3.2% YoY
Employment
16,371
-1.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3196
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.02%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
19.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$290,378
Days on Market
37
Active market
Months of Supply
2.6
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
28.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
28.3%
Building Permits (2025)
195
Single-Family Permits
175

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
22.3
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
149.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$1,350M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Panther Creek AI Data Center
Bitfarms Ltd. and T5 Data Centers
$500M Proposed
Rock Creek Wind II
Undisclosed
$400M Planned
Rock Creek Wind
Undisclosed
$400M Planned
Sage Meadows Subdivision
Undisclosed
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.3% 34 percentile
Income Growth -0.5% 5 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.9% 8 percentile
Home Price Change +0.6% 34 percentile
Rent Growth +6.4% 89 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 76 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Carbon County, PA a good place to move to?

Carbon County ranks #193 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 81/100. The composite score reflects long-term strength — housing, income, and migration patterns — but near-term hiring is soft (employment is down 1.8% year-over-year). Median household income here is $67,554.

Is Carbon County affordable?

Housing in Carbon County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $211,400 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.32, with rents averaging $994/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Carbon County growing or shrinking?

Carbon County's job market is contracting (-1.8% YoY) while population is roughly stable (+0.3% change). Home values are +0.6% over the past 12 months. Hiring headwinds without an offsetting exodus — residents are staying, but local employers are shedding payroll.

Are people moving to Carbon County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.02% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Carbon County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Fayette County, PA 82 Lycoming County, PA 82 Wayne County, PA 80 Beaver County, PA 84 Monroe County, PA 78 Lackawanna County, PA 76 Huron County, OH 81 Augusta County, VA 81