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Butler County, PA

RANK #942 / 1001 NAT  ·  #44 / 44 PA  ·  POP 197,254

1YR FORECAST: -0.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +15%

Our model projects Butler County's housing market at -0.8% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Butler County?

Butler County, Pennsylvania, known as the "birthplace of the Jeep," offers a blend of history and natural beauty. Located about 35 miles north of Pittsburgh, it provides a suburban and rural feel with convenient access to the city via commuter bus routes. The county is home to Moraine State Park, featuring the 3,000-acre Lake Arthur, and numerous other parks and trails for hiking, biking, and water activities. Towns like Harmony, a National Historic Landmark District, and Saxonburg, with its German heritage, contribute to the area's distinctive character.

Life in Butler County appeals to families and those seeking a balance between community and outdoor access. The public schools are generally rated above average. Commuting to Pittsburgh is an option for many residents, with public transit available. The local economy is supported by a diverse range of sectors, including manufacturing, energy, and technology. Recent developments indicate continued investment in business parks and infrastructure, reflecting ongoing growth and opportunities within the county.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Butler County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +1.1% YoY, population +0.7%, wages +3.5%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
9.6x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.1%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.2

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 9.6x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Independence Health System Healthcare
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Westinghouse Electric Co LLC Manufacturing
    1,000+
  3. 3
    PA State System of Higher Education (including Slippery Rock University) Education
  4. 4
    Cleveland-Cliffs (formerly AK Steel Corporation) Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Walmart Associates Inc. Retail
    500+
  6. 6
    Federal Government Government
  7. 7
    Seneca Valley School District Education
  8. 8
    Butler Area School District Education
  9. 9
    Giant Eagle Inc. Retail
  10. 10
    County of Butler Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Butler County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
197,254
+0.71% YoY
Median Household Income
$89,843
Median Home Value
$294,200
+1.05% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,041
Average Annual Pay
$67,875
+3.5% YoY
Employment
89,056
+0.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3054
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.69%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
39.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$345,355
Days on Market
54
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.7
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.0%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
24.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
23.7%
Building Permits (2025)
1,246
Single-Family Permits
974

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
9.6
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
82.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$2,700M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Coherent (Nvidia Investment)
Nvidia
$2,000M Planned
Iron Mountain Data Center ("The Underground")
Iron Mountain Data Centers
$500M Operating
Buffalo Township Solar Farms (2 projects)
SolAmerica Energy
$100M Proposed
Revolution Pipeline
ETC Northeast Pipeline, LLC
$50M Operating
Shadow Ridge Residential Development
Foxlane Homes
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.7% 54 percentile
Income Growth +3.5% 70 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 54 percentile
Home Price Change +1.1% 39 percentile
Rent Growth +0.1% 11 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 64 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Butler County, PA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Butler County scores just 5/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #942 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +0.7% and median household income of $89,843 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Butler County affordable?

Housing in Butler County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $294,200 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.31, with rents averaging $1,041/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Butler County growing or shrinking?

Butler County's population is growing — up +0.7% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.7%). Home values shifted +1.1% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Butler County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.69% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Butler County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Armstrong County, PA 26 Bucks County, PA 27 Allegheny County, PA 28 Lehigh County, PA 29 Delaware County, PA 31 Montgomery County, PA 31 Yolo County, CA 5 Webb County, TX 4