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Dauphin County, PA

RANK #567 / 1001 NAT  ·  #32 / 44 PA  ·  POP 289,593

1YR FORECAST: +1.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +27%

#37 Most Undervalued
Dauphin County's housing market is projected to grow +1.4% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Dauphin County?

Dauphin County, Pennsylvania, is perhaps best known as home to Hershey, "The Sweetest Place on Earth," offering attractions like Hersheypark and Hershey Gardens. Located in south-central Pennsylvania, with Harrisburg as its county seat and state capital, the county borders the Susquehanna River to the west. Commuting options include public bus services and a regional program promoting carpooling, vanpooling, biking, and walking. The landscape transitions from urban centers to serene suburbs and farming communities, backed by rolling fields, waterways, and the Appalachian Mountains. Outdoor recreation is supported by numerous county parks, including Wildwood Park and Detweiler Park, offering trails for hiking and opportunities for birdwatching.

Life in Dauphin County offers a mix of urban and rural experiences, attracting families and young professionals. Public schools in the county are generally rated above average, with districts like Derry Township and Central Dauphin recognized. The economy, historically rooted in manufacturing, is diversifying. While government and tourism remain significant, there is growth in sectors such as data centers, energy, and industrial logistics, supported by the county's access to major highways and a skilled workforce. The county actively supports economic development through various programs and initiatives for businesses.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Dauphin County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +3.5% YoY, population +0.7%, wages +2.3%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.2x

Below national median (11.3x)

Home Prices
+3.5%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
1.1

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.2x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Pennsylvania State Government Government
  2. 2
    Milton S. Hershey Medical Center Healthcare
  3. 3
    Hershey Entertainment & Resorts Co. Hospitality
  4. 4
    UPMC Pinnacle Hospitals Healthcare
  5. 5
    The Hershey Company Manufacturing
  6. 6
    United Parcel Service Inc. Logistics
  7. 7
    Federal Government Government
  8. 8
    Penn State Health Healthcare
  9. 9
    Pennsylvania State University Education
  10. 10
    Milton Hershey School Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Dauphin County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
289,593
+0.73% YoY
Median Household Income
$76,242
Median Home Value
$236,400
+3.52% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,217
Average Annual Pay
$69,585
+2.3% YoY
Employment
190,321
0.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3225
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.92%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
34.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$295,000
Days on Market
9
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
1.7
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.9%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
36.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
42.5%
Building Permits (2025)
329
Single-Family Permits
180

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
12.2
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
91.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
50.7
Moderate
Good Air Days
48%
522 of 1,089 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
17
Includes 2 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
52
2022
48
2023
52
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,900M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
UPS East Zone Regional Hub
UPS
$1,400M Operating
Three Mile Island Nuclear Station Unit 1 License Extension & Restart
Constellation Energy Corp
$1,000M Proposed
Dauphin Highlands Golf Course Data Center
Harrisburg I, LLC (Provident Realty Advisors)
$500M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.7% 55 percentile
Income Growth +2.8% 52 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 50 percentile
Home Price Change +3.5% 72 percentile
Rent Growth +3.3% 56 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 65 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Dauphin County, PA a good place to move to?

Dauphin County scores 43/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#567). Median household income is $76,242. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Dauphin County affordable?

Housing in Dauphin County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $236,400 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.32, with rents averaging $1,217/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Dauphin County growing or shrinking?

Dauphin County's population is growing — up +0.7% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of 0.0%). Home values shifted +3.5% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Dauphin County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.92% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Dauphin County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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