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Nacogdoches County, TX

RANK #61 / 1001 NAT  ·  #3 / 72 TX  ·  POP 65,162

1YR FORECAST: +0.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +38%

#41 Best for Investment
Our model projects Nacogdoches County's housing market to grow +0.9% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Nacogdoches County?

Nacogdoches, known as "The Oldest Town in Texas," offers a distinctive blend of history and natural beauty. Located in East Texas, it sits about 140 miles northeast of Houston and 58 miles southeast of Tyler. The community maintains a relaxed atmosphere, with a typical commute time around 17 minutes. The area is heavily forested with pine, cypress, and oak, contributing to its high natural amenity rating. Residents and visitors can explore the 7-mile Lanana Creek Trail, enjoy Lake Nacogdoches for fishing and boating, or visit the Ruby M. Mize Azalea Garden, which boasts one of the most diverse azalea collections in the United States.

Life in Nacogdoches County is characterized by a close-knit community feel and a lower cost of living compared to larger metropolitan areas. Public schools in the county are generally above average, with several independent school districts serving the area, including Nacogdoches ISD and Central Heights ISD. The local economy is significantly influenced by Stephen F. Austin State University, which contributes to local economic activity and employment. Beyond the university, the economy is supported by sectors such as agriculture, particularly blueberry production, and manufacturing. Recent economic developments show continued investment in these established industries.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Nacogdoches County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +2.9% YoY, population +0.4%, wages +5.5%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
9.6x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.9%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
2.1

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 9.6x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Pilgrim's Pride Manufacturing
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Stephen F. Austin State University Education
  3. 3
    Nacogdoches Independent School District Education
  4. 4
    Nacogdoches County Hospital District Healthcare
    500+
  5. 5
    Etech Other
  6. 6
    Nacogdoches Medical Center Healthcare
    250+
  7. 7
    Walmart Supercenter, Inc. Retail
  8. 8
    City of Nacogdoches Government
  9. 9
    Nacogdoches County Government
  10. 10
    Nibco, Inc. Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Nacogdoches County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
65,162
+0.41% YoY
Median Household Income
$53,555
Median Home Value
$169,200
+2.85% 12mo
Median Rent
$965
Average Annual Pay
$50,337
+5.5% YoY
Employment
22,918
+1.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3165
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
7.47%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
28.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$148,250
Days on Market
5
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
68.0
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
105.8%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
100.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
30.1%
Building Permits (2025)
31
Single-Family Permits
31

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
5.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
19.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
86.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$1,650M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Middlebrook Creek Solar and BESS
Solar Proponent LLC
$912M Planned
Spindletop (Banita Creek) Solar Farm with Battery Storage
Parliament Energy
$429M Planned
Sunlit Pines BESS SLF
Undisclosed
$208M Planned
Timberline Storage
Undisclosed
$101M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.4% 40 percentile
Income Growth +3.9% 78 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.5% 16 percentile
Home Price Change +2.9% 66 percentile
Rent Growth +0.6% 16 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 85 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Nacogdoches County, TX a good place to move to?

Nacogdoches County ranks #61 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 94/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +1.6% and a median household income of $53,555 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Nacogdoches County affordable?

Housing in Nacogdoches County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $169,200 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.32, with rents averaging $965/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Nacogdoches County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Nacogdoches County are hiring — job growth of +1.6% — but the population is close to flat (+0.4% YoY). Home values moved +2.9% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Nacogdoches County?

In significant numbers — 7.47% of Nacogdoches County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Anderson County, TX 93 Bowie County, TX 91 Hardin County, TX 99 Taylor County, TX 100 Lamar County, TX 83 Jefferson County, TX 79 Hancock County, ME 94 Cole County, MO 94