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Kerr County, TX

Kerrville

RANK #966 / 996 NAT  ·  #62 / 69 TX  ·  POP 52,810

1YR FORECAST: -3.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +6%

Our model projects Kerr County's housing market at -3.6% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Kerr County?

Kerr County, located in the heart of the Texas Hill Country, is perhaps best known for Kerrville, its county seat, and the Guadalupe River that flows through it. The county is situated about 65 miles northwest of San Antonio, making it accessible while maintaining a distinct, peaceful community feel. Residents and visitors enjoy a variety of outdoor activities, including hiking and biking on the six-mile Kerrville River Trail, camping and fishing at Kerrville-Schreiner Park, and kayaking on the Guadalupe River. The area's natural beauty, characterized by rolling hills and cypress-lined riverbanks, contributes to a high quality of life. Life in Kerr County is often described as having a close-knit, friendly, small-town charm, appealing to both young professionals and retirees. The public schools in Kerrville are highly rated, and Schreiner University provides local higher education opportunities. The local economy is supported by a mix of industries, including healthcare, education, and manufacturing. Recent economic developments include investments in advanced manufacturing and aerospace, with companies expanding operations in Kerrville.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.5x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+3.5%

Above national median

Home Prices
-3.4%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
4.5

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Below national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.5x relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Peterson Regional Medical Center Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Kerrville Independent School District Education
    500+
  3. 3
    South Texas Veterans Health Care System-Kerrville Healthcare
  4. 4
    Kerrville State Hospital Healthcare
  5. 5
    James Avery Craftsman, Inc. Manufacturing
  6. 6
    H-E-B Grocery Store Retail
    250+
  7. 7
    Walmart Supercenter Retail
  8. 8
    Lowe's Home Improvement Warehouse Retail
    100+
  9. 9
    City of Kerrville Government
  10. 10
    Home Depot Retail

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Kerr County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
52,810
+0.76% YoY
Median Household Income
$66,713
Median Home Value
$260,700
-3.35% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,048
Average Annual Pay
$56,546
+4.1% YoY
Employment
19,471
+1.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2559
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
6.58%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
29.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$329,000
Days on Market
138
Slower market
Months of Supply
6.4
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.1%
Negotiation room for buyers
Listings w/ Price Drops
28.8%
Building Permits (2024)
406
Single-Family Permits
97

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
19.6
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
93.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$310M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
East West BESS Battery Storage Project
Cleanview (developer not specified in public info)
$123M Planned
Black Mountain Energy Storage Facility
Black Mountain Energy Storage
$120M Proposed
Megaacrete Manufacturing and Headquarters Facility
Megaacrete (joint venture of Litecrete and Aercon)
$40M Planned
Lennar Homes Residential Developments (2 projects)
Lennar Homes
$27M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +3.5% 66 percentile
Population Growth +0.8% 63 percentile
Income Growth +7.2% 21 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.8% 12 percentile
Home Price Change -3.4% 8 percentile
Rent Growth -0.8% 6 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 66 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Kerr County, TX a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Kerr County scores just 2/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #966 of 996 counties. Job growth at +1.9% and median household income of $66,713 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Kerr County affordable?

Housing in Kerr County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $260,700 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.26, with rents averaging $1,048/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Kerr County growing or shrinking?

Kerr County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +0.8% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.9% clip. Home values shifted -3.4% in the past year.

Are people moving to Kerr County?

In significant numbers — 6.58% of Kerr County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Bastrop County, TX 2 Denton County, TX 2 Fort Bend County, TX 2 Grayson County, TX 3 Wise County, TX 3 Bexar County, TX 1 Pike County, KY 3 Lake County, CA 3