RANK #894 / 1001 NAT · #53 / 72 TX · POP 53,489
1YR FORECAST: -1.1%
5YR OUTLOOK: +19%
Kerr County, located in the heart of the Texas Hill Country, is perhaps best known for Kerrville, its county seat, and the Guadalupe River that flows through it. The county is situated about 65 miles northwest of San Antonio, making it accessible while maintaining a distinct, peaceful community feel. Residents and visitors enjoy a variety of outdoor activities, including hiking and biking on the six-mile Kerrville River Trail, camping and fishing at Kerrville-Schreiner Park, and kayaking on the Guadalupe River. The area's natural beauty, characterized by rolling hills and cypress-lined riverbanks, contributes to a high quality of life. Life in Kerr County is often described as having a close-knit, friendly, small-town charm, appealing to both young professionals and retirees. The public schools in Kerrville are highly rated, and Schreiner University provides local higher education opportunities. The local economy is supported by a mix of industries, including healthcare, education, and manufacturing. Recent economic developments include investments in advanced manufacturing and aerospace, with companies expanding operations in Kerrville.
Kerr County is one of 76 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -3.6% matches the profile's typical -3.7%.
See all 76 Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction counties →Overvalued relative to economy
Prices declining
Above national median (15x)
Housing looks overvalued at 14.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.
Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.
Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).
Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →
Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →
| PROJECT | AMOUNT | STATUS |
|---|---|---|
|
East West BESS Battery Storage Project
Cleanview (developer not specified in public info)
|
$123M | Planned |
|
Black Mountain Energy Storage Facility
Black Mountain Energy Storage
|
$120M | Proposed |
|
Megaacrete Manufacturing and Headquarters Facility
Megaacrete (joint venture of Litecrete and Aercon)
|
$40M | Planned |
|
Lennar Homes Residential Developments (2 projects)
Lennar Homes
|
$27M | Under Construction |
Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.
Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.
The data is not encouraging — Kerr County scores just 10/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #894 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +1.4% and median household income of $69,395 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.
Kerr County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $321,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.22 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,109/month on average.
Kerr County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +0.6% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.4% clip. Home values shifted -3.6% in the past year.
In significant numbers — 7.04% of Kerr County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.