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Kerr County, TX

RANK #746 / 1001 NAT  ·  #27 / 72 TX  ·  POP 53,489

1YR FORECAST: -1.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +15%

Our model projects Kerr County's housing market at -1.7% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Kerr County?

Kerr County, located in the heart of the Texas Hill Country, is perhaps best known for Kerrville, its county seat, and the Guadalupe River that flows through it. The county is situated about 65 miles northwest of San Antonio, making it accessible while maintaining a distinct, peaceful community feel. Residents and visitors enjoy a variety of outdoor activities, including hiking and biking on the six-mile Kerrville River Trail, camping and fishing at Kerrville-Schreiner Park, and kayaking on the Guadalupe River. The area's natural beauty, characterized by rolling hills and cypress-lined riverbanks, contributes to a high quality of life. Life in Kerr County is often described as having a close-knit, friendly, small-town charm, appealing to both young professionals and retirees. The public schools in Kerrville are highly rated, and Schreiner University provides local higher education opportunities. The local economy is supported by a mix of industries, including healthcare, education, and manufacturing. Recent economic developments include investments in advanced manufacturing and aerospace, with companies expanding operations in Kerrville.

MARKET PROFILE

Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction

Kerr County is one of 76 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -2.1% runs above the profile's typical -3.7%.

See all 76 Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
14.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-2.1%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
4.5

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 14.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Peterson Regional Medical Center Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Kerrville Independent School District Education
    500+
  3. 3
    South Texas Veterans Health Care System-Kerrville Healthcare
  4. 4
    Kerrville State Hospital Healthcare
  5. 5
    James Avery Craftsman, Inc. Manufacturing
  6. 6
    H-E-B Grocery Store Retail
    250+
  7. 7
    Walmart Supercenter Retail
  8. 8
    Lowe's Home Improvement Warehouse Retail
    100+
  9. 9
    City of Kerrville Government
  10. 10
    Home Depot Retail

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Kerr County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
53,489
+0.61% YoY
Median Household Income
$69,395
Median Home Value
$321,200
-2.07% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,109
Average Annual Pay
$58,420
+3.3% YoY
Employment
19,746
+1.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.216
Near national average
Migration Inflow
7.04%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
31.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$385,000
Days on Market
58
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
6.2
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
91.3%
Negotiation room for buyers
Listings w/ Price Drops
29.7%
Building Permits (2025)
179
Single-Family Permits
91

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.5
Firearm Fatalities
19.6
per 100K · nat avg 13.4
Injury Deaths
93.3
per 100K · nat avg 83.6
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate
10-Year Trend
Down 16% since 2015
homicide rate, 2015 → 2025

Source: Homicide rates from CDC/NCHS vital-statistics mortality data — a multi-year average that stabilizes counts in smaller counties — compiled in the County Health Rankings 2025 release. Rates per 100,000 population; U.S. average ≈ 6.5. Grade reflects homicide rate relative to the national average. Learn more →

See where Kerr County stands nationally: safest large counties in America · highest homicide-rate counties · counties where safety is improving.

[06] Capital Investment

$310M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
East West BESS Battery Storage Project
Cleanview (developer not specified in public info)
$123M Planned
Black Mountain Energy Storage Facility
Black Mountain Energy Storage
$120M Proposed
Megaacrete Manufacturing and Headquarters Facility
Megaacrete (joint venture of Litecrete and Aercon)
$40M Planned
Lennar Homes Residential Developments (2 projects)
Lennar Homes
$27M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.6% 49 percentile
Income Growth +2.2% 34 percentile
Vacancy Rate 2.1% 6 percentile
Home Price Change -2.1% 6 percentile
Rent Growth +3.1% 49 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 51 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Kerr County, TX a good place to move to?

At 25/100, Kerr County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $69,395 combined with job growth of +1.4% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Kerr County affordable?

Kerr County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $321,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.22 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,109/month on average.

Is Kerr County growing or shrinking?

Kerr County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +0.6% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.4% clip. Home values shifted -2.1% in the past year.

Are people moving to Kerr County?

In significant numbers — 7.04% of Kerr County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Lubbock County, TX 26 Hood County, TX 26 Kaufman County, TX 26 Tarrant County, TX 24 Walker County, TX 24 Van Zandt County, TX 27 Washington County, VA 25 Columbus County, NC 25