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Roanoke city, VA

RANK #854 / 1001 NAT  ·  #32 / 37 VA  ·  POP 98,355

1YR FORECAST: +0.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +22%

#13 Most Undervalued
Our model projects Roanoke city's housing market at +0.0% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Roanoke city?

Roanoke, Virginia, often called the "Star City of the South," is distinguished by the Roanoke Star, an 88.5-foot-tall illuminated structure atop Mill Mountain that has served as a landmark since 1949. Located in the Blue Ridge Mountains, Roanoke is approximately 168 miles west of Richmond. The city offers a blend of urban amenities and natural scenery, with the Blue Ridge Parkway running just south of the city and the Appalachian Trail passing nearby. Commute times are generally short, and public transportation options include Valley Metro bus service and a free downtown trolley. The community provides a relaxed atmosphere for residents.

Life in Roanoke offers affordability and a connection to nature. The city's public school system, Roanoke City Public Schools, serves approximately 14,000 students. Roanoke's economy, historically shaped by the railroad, has diversified. Recent economic developments show growth in sectors such as advanced manufacturing, biotechnology, and information technology. The region has also seen investment in infrastructure and efforts to revitalize commercial spaces and support local businesses.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Roanoke city's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +1.8% YoY, population -0.3%, wages +3.0%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.4x

Below national median (11.3x)

Home Prices
+1.8%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
0.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Below national median (15x)

Housing is fairly valued at 4.4x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Carilion Clinic Healthcare
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Wells Fargo Bank Finance
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Kroger Retail
  4. 4
    MW Windows and Doors (Cornerstone Building Brands) Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Veterans Affairs Government
  6. 6
    Roanoke City Public Schools Education
  7. 7
    HCA Virginia Health Systems (LewisGale Medical Center) Healthcare
  8. 8
    Walmart Retail
  9. 9
    City of Roanoke Government
  10. 10
    Roanoke County Schools Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Roanoke city U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
98,355
-0.33% YoY
Median Household Income
$55,378
Median Home Value
$190,500
+1.75% 12mo
Median Rent
$996
Average Annual Pay
$64,599
+3.0% YoY
Employment
66,321
+1.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2907
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.62%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
30.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Building Permits (2025)
410
Single-Family Permits
88

[05] Crime & Safety

F
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
14.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
25.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
167.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
42.7
Good
Good Air Days
69%
754 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
5
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
43
2022
42
2023
43
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,265M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Google Botetourt County Data Center Campus
Google
$1,000M Planned
Stormwater Capital Improvement Projects
City of Roanoke Stormwater Utility
$140M Ongoing
Rocky Forge Wind Farm
Apex Clean Energy
$75M Under Construction
Roanoke Gas Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Facility
Roanoke Gas Company & Western Virginia Water Authority
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.3% 9 percentile
Income Growth +5.1% 91 percentile
Vacancy Rate 2.0% 6 percentile
Home Price Change +1.8% 52 percentile
Rent Growth +3.6% 62 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 82 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Roanoke city, VA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Roanoke city scores just 14/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #854 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +1.0% and median household income of $55,378 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Roanoke city affordable?

Housing in Roanoke city is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $190,500 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.29, with rents averaging $996/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Roanoke city growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Roanoke city are both close to flat — population -0.3% YoY and jobs +1.0%. Home values shifted +1.8% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Roanoke city?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.62% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Roanoke city has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Albemarle County, VA 18 Suffolk city, VA 19 Frederick County, VA 20 York County, VA 20 Lynchburg city, VA 20 Loudoun County, VA 8 Rapides Parish, LA 14 Black Hawk County, IA 14