Ranked by Real GDP Growth Rate

Counties with Highest GDP Growth

Counties leading the nation in real GDP growth — the economic engines powering local job creation and wage increases.

Counties with Highest GDP Growth

Energy Boom Fuels Southwest Growth

The top of this list reveals a clear story: energy. Lea and Eddy Counties in New Mexico, along with Washington County, Oklahoma, are seeing explosive GDP growth, largely driven by the Permian Basin's oil and gas activity. These aren't just one-off spikes; it signals a sustained expansion in resource extraction and related industries, creating a powerful economic engine for these smaller, often overlooked regions.

Rust Belt Revival in Unexpected Places

While the energy sector dominates, the strong showing of counties like Darke County, Ohio, and Northumberland and Armstrong Counties in Pennsylvania is a pleasant surprise. These areas, often associated with industrial decline, are demonstrating robust GDP growth. This suggests a diversification or resurgence in manufacturing, logistics, or other sectors that are quietly driving significant economic expansion beyond the typical growth hubs.

GDP Growth Doesn't Always Mean Home Value Momentum

Don't let strong GDP growth fool you into assuming immediate housing market heat. Counties like Jefferson County, TX, and Armstrong County, PA, show impressive economic output expansion, yet their 1-year home value forecasts are negative. This divergence highlights that while local economies are producing more, the benefits aren't always translating directly or immediately into accelerating home values, suggesting other factors are at play in their housing markets.

# County BTI Score GDP Growth Pop Growth Income Growth 1yr Forecast
01 Lea County NM 37 +19.2% +0.5% +5.7% +1.2%
02 Washington County OK 58 +18.4% +0.4% +7.6% +3.6%
03 Morgan County IN 55 +18.0% +0.5% +10.1% +1.1%
04 Orange County TX 100 +13.8% -0.3% +4.6% +1.4%
05 Eddy County NM 74 +12.7% +0.3% +14.3% +5.1%
06 Oktibbeha County MS 75 +12.7% +0.1% +4.5% +2.2%
07 Darke County OH 96 +12.7% -0.2% +4.9% +5.5%
08 Jefferson County TX 72 +12.4% -0.7% +6.9% -0.6%
09 Northumberland County PA 63 +12.4% -0.6% +9.7% +2.2%
10 Armstrong County PA 7 +12.0% -0.7% +7.3% -0.7%
11 Jefferson County WV 73 +11.4% +0.9% +8.1% +2.5%
12 Jackson County MS 87 +11.1% +0.5% +9.0% +0.7%
13 Polk County OR 46 +10.7% +1.4% +10.1% -0.1%
14 Talladega County AL 3 +10.7% -0.9% +15.5% -0.0%
15 Pinal County AZ 20 +10.7% +3.0% +11.9% -1.6%
16 Lee County NC 96 +10.4% +1.4% +5.7% +1.0%
17 Sandoval County NM 17 +10.3% +1.4% +10.8% +0.5%
18 Kershaw County SC 57 +10.1% +1.2% +8.7% +0.5%
19 Bradford County PA 71 +10.1% -0.1% +11.5% +2.4%
20 Elko County NV 70 +9.9% +0.3% +6.4% +1.7%
21 Tooele County UT 40 +9.8% +3.8% +9.1% +0.4%
22 St. Charles Parish LA 67 +9.8% -0.4% +9.8% -2.3%
23 San Mateo County CA 2 +9.7% -1.1% +9.6% -0.5%
24 Vermilion Parish LA 94 +9.3% -1.0% -0.3% +1.9%
25 Skagit County WA 48 +9.1% +1.0% +8.9% +2.1%
26 Union County OH 65 +9.0% +2.7% +8.1% +1.2%
27 Bedford County TN 72 +8.8% +1.6% +8.3% +1.1%
28 Oldham County KY 12 +8.8% +0.6% +6.8% +0.7%
29 Rockwall County TX 6 +8.8% +5.1% +8.7% -1.7%
30 Berkeley County SC 18 +8.6% +2.9% +10.0% -0.0%
31 Bartow County GA 11 +8.5% +1.4% +14.1% -1.3%
32 Orangeburg County SC 87 +8.5% -0.9% +7.8% +1.2%
33 El Paso County TX 36 +8.4% +0.4% +8.8% +1.5%
34 Madison County IL 86 +8.3% -0.2% +7.3% +3.3%
35 Johnston County NC 26 +8.2% +3.6% +14.0% -0.1%
36 Blount County AL 31 +8.2% +0.3% +8.7% +0.3%
37 Barry County MI 78 +8.1% +0.9% +9.3% +2.5%
38 Benton County AR 32 +8.1% +2.8% +10.9% +1.1%
39 Madera County CA 51 +8.0% +0.6% +10.2% +1.9%
40 Hoke County NC 27 +7.9% +0.8% +6.9% +0.1%
41 Franklin County NC 68 +7.9% +3.1% +13.1% +0.5%
42 Mohave County AZ 60 +7.9% +1.4% +7.8% +0.7%
43 Merced County CA 43 +7.9% +1.1% +10.0% -0.0%
44 Clark County IN 60 +7.8% +1.1% +10.8% +1.4%
45 Nueces County TX 51 +7.8% -0.1% +7.7% +1.6%
46 Sampson County NC 45 +7.7% -0.2% +10.7% +0.0%
47 San Benito County CA 40 +7.6% +2.2% +9.2% -0.1%
48 Randolph County NC 76 +7.6% +0.5% +9.3% +2.3%
49 Lancaster County SC 11 +7.6% +3.1% +7.1% +0.1%
50 Allen County OH 100 +7.5% -0.4% +7.0% +6.0%