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Northumberland County, PA

RANK #65 / 1001 NAT  ·  #5 / 44 PA  ·  POP 90,560

1YR FORECAST: +1.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +38%

#26 Best for Families
Our model projects Northumberland County's housing market to grow +1.6% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Northumberland County?

Northumberland County, Pennsylvania, is distinguished by Sunbury, its county seat, which holds a unique place in history as the first city in the world to be commercially lit by Thomas Edison's incandescent electric lights in 1883. Located in central Pennsylvania, the county is about an hour's drive north of Harrisburg. The community offers a blend of rural landscapes and small towns, with a commute time averaging 23.3 minutes, shorter than the national average. The Susquehanna River, a prominent natural feature, provides opportunities for outdoor recreation, including boating, fishing, and hiking at places like Shikellamy State Park, which offers scenic overlooks of the river's confluence. The Anthracite Outdoor Adventure Area (AOAA) also provides 6,500 acres for motorized and non-motorized recreation.

Life in Northumberland County is characterized by a lower cost of living, particularly for housing, making homeownership accessible. The area appeals to families and retirees seeking a quieter lifestyle. Local school districts include Milton Area, Warrior Run, and Shikellamy. The economy, historically rooted in agriculture and coal, is seeing new investment. Recent state initiatives are focused on developing "pad-ready" industrial sites to attract new businesses, with a particular interest in sectors like plastic manufacturing and controlled agriculture. This effort aims to create new job opportunities and strengthen the region's economic future.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Affordable Slow Markets

Northumberland County is one of 75 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +4.7% runs above the profile's typical +0.8%.

See all 75 Affordable Slow Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
10.0x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+4.7%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
0.7

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 10.0x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Weis Markets Inc. Retail
  2. 2
    Knoebels Amusement Resort Hospitality
  3. 3
    State Government Government
  4. 4
    Conagra Foods Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Northumberland County Government
  6. 6
    Furman Foods Inc. Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Watsontown Trucking Co Inc. Logistics
  8. 8
    Geisinger Medical Center Healthcare
  9. 9
    Wal-Mart Associates Inc. Retail
  10. 10
    Central Susquehanna IU (Intermediate Unit) & School Districts Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Northumberland County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
90,560
-0.4% YoY
Median Household Income
$60,583
Median Home Value
$162,400
+4.68% 12mo
Median Rent
$806
Average Annual Pay
$54,259
+2.3% YoY
Employment
26,992
0.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.373
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.76%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
19.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$175,000
Days on Market
59
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
4.0
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.3%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
18.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
28.4%
Building Permits (2025)
31
Single-Family Permits
31

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
9.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
112.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$148M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Northumberland Solar Project (Energix Renewables)
Energix Renewables
$78M Under Construction
Northumberland Solar PV Park (Dakota Power Partners/Enel Green Power North America)
Dakota Power Partners/Enel Green Power North America
$70M Permitting

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.4% 8 percentile
Income Growth +4.5% 86 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 40 percentile
Home Price Change +4.7% 84 percentile
Rent Growth +7.4% 93 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 76 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Northumberland County, PA a good place to move to?

Northumberland County ranks #65 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 94/100, placing it in the top tier nationally. Median household income is $60,583 and the underlying growth metrics (housing, migration, income) hold up against peer counties.

Is Northumberland County affordable?

By national standards, Northumberland County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $162,400, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.37 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $806/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Northumberland County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Northumberland County are both close to flat — population -0.4% YoY and jobs 0.0%. Home values shifted +4.7% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Northumberland County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.76% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Northumberland County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Blair County, PA 94 Lawrence County, PA 94 Schuylkill County, PA 96 Clearfield County, PA 96 Crawford County, PA 90 Cambria County, PA 90 Chemung County, NY 94 Cole County, MO 94