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Armstrong County, PA

Kiskiminetas

RANK #918 / 996 NAT  ·  #44 / 44 PA  ·  POP 65,538

1YR FORECAST: -0.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +11%

#10 Highest GDP Growth #35 Most Affordable
Our model projects Armstrong County's housing market at -0.7% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Armstrong County?

Parker, known as the "Smallest City in America," offers a unique glimpse into Armstrong County's past as an oil boomtown. Located in west-central Pennsylvania, approximately 30 minutes north of Pittsburgh, Armstrong County is characterized by its hilly terrain and the Allegheny River, which flows through the county. The community offers a rural atmosphere with access to outdoor recreation, including over 200 miles of trails, the Allegheny River, and numerous parks for hiking, biking, and fishing. The Armstrong Trail, a 36-mile pathway, connects to other regional trail systems, providing additional opportunities for outdoor activities. Life in Armstrong County often involves a mix of residents, including families and retirees, with many owning their homes. The Armstrong School District serves many of the county's boroughs and townships, with additional school districts like Apollo-Ridge and Leechburg Area School District also present. The local economy, historically rooted in manufacturing and mining, is experiencing revitalization with new investments. There is a focus on emerging sectors such as data centers and energy, including natural gas production. Efforts are also underway to redevelop former industrial sites and improve community livability through various planning and development programs.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.0x

Below national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+12.0%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-4.5%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.4

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 4.0x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Armstrong County Memorial Hospital Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Armstrong School District Education
    500+
  3. 3
    Rosebud Mining Company Energy
    250+
  4. 4
    Walmart Associates Inc. Retail
  5. 5
    Cook Vandergrift Inc. Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Armstrong County Government Government
  7. 7
    State Government Government
    100+
  8. 8
    Family Counseling Center Healthcare
  9. 9
    Apollo-Ridge School District Education
  10. 10
    Federal Government Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Armstrong County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
65,538
-0.65% YoY
Median Household Income
$61,011
Median Home Value
$135,800
-4.55% 12mo
Median Rent
$777
Average Annual Pay
$51,796
+4.2% YoY
Employment
15,650
-0.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4493
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.04%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
18.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$113,500
Days on Market
75
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.9
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.2%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
19.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
18.1%
Building Permits (2024)
57
Single-Family Permits
37

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
14.2
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
119.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
46.7
Good
Good Air Days
58%
620 of 1,077 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
10
Includes 2 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
48
2022
48
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,700M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Sunny Fields Solar and Storage Project
Vesper Energy
$1,000M Proposed
Goodnight Data Center Campus
Google, Crusoe Energy
$500M Under Construction
Armstrong Power LLC Natural Gas Plant Expansion
NRG Energy
$100M Planned
Kittanning - Rural Valley 25 kV Solar Project
Undisclosed
$50M Planned
RIDC Armstrong Innovation Park Tech Flex Building
Regional Industrial Development Corporation (RIDC), Armstrong County Industrial Development Council (ACIDC)
$50M Completed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +12.0% 99 percentile
Population Growth -0.7% 8 percentile
Income Growth +7.3% 23 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 36 percentile
Home Price Change -4.5% 4 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 38 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Armstrong County, PA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Armstrong County scores just 7/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #918 of 996 counties. Job growth at -0.3% and median household income of $61,011 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Armstrong County affordable?

By national standards, Armstrong County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $135,800, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.45 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $777/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Armstrong County growing or shrinking?

Armstrong County is losing population (-0.7% YoY) while the job market is essentially flat (-0.3% employment change). Home values are -4.5% over the past 12 months. A slow-bleed pattern — not a collapse, but residents are leaving faster than employers are hiring.

Are people moving to Armstrong County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.04% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Armstrong County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Monroe County, PA 10 Beaver County, PA 14 Allegheny County, PA 16 Bucks County, PA 17 Carbon County, PA 19 Butler County, PA 20 Chaves County, NM 7 Columbia County, FL 7