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Skagit County, WA

RANK #804 / 1001 NAT  ·  #11 / 21 WA  ·  POP 131,328

1YR FORECAST: +0.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +23%

Our model projects Skagit County's housing market at +0.3% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Skagit County?

Skagit County, Washington, is widely recognized for its annual Skagit Valley Tulip Festival, which draws visitors each April to witness expansive fields of blooming tulips. Located in the northwest corner of Washington State, the county sits roughly 60 miles north of Seattle and south of Vancouver, British Columbia. This position allows for commutes to both major cities, with Amtrak and express bus services available from Mount Vernon. The community offers a blend of rural landscapes and access to urban amenities. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with the Cascade Mountains to the east and the Puget Sound to the west, providing opportunities for hiking, kayaking, birdwatching, and exploring areas like Deception Pass State Park and North Cascades National Park.

Life in Skagit County appeals to families, retirees, and remote workers seeking a balance of natural beauty and community. The county seat, Mount Vernon, along with towns like Anacortes and Sedro-Woolley, offer distinct community characters. Seven public school districts serve the county, including Anacortes, Burlington-Edison, and Mount Vernon School Districts. The local economy is supported by agriculture, with the Skagit Valley known for its fertile lands and diverse crops. Beyond agriculture, the county has seen investment in energy sectors, alongside established industries such as specialized manufacturing, maritime trades, and tourism.

MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

Skagit County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +1.4% runs above the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
19.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.4%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
4.9

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
21x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 19.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Skagit Regional Health Healthcare
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Janicki Industries Manufacturing
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Mount Vernon School District Education
  4. 4
    Sinclair Refinery (formerly Shell Puget Sound Refinery) Energy
    500+
  5. 5
    Skagit County Government Government
  6. 6
    Island Hospital – Public Hospital District 2 Healthcare
  7. 7
    Sedro Woolley School District Education
  8. 8
    PACCAR Technical Center Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Draper Valley Farms (Purdue Farms) Agriculture
  10. 10
    Burlington-Edison School District Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Skagit County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
131,328
+0.71% YoY
Median Household Income
$89,263
Median Home Value
$545,100
+1.41% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,536
Average Annual Pay
$68,717
+5.1% YoY
Employment
54,194
+0.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1638
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.03%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
30.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$610,140
Days on Market
14
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
3.5
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.6%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
33.3%
Listings w/ Price Drops
31.2%
Building Permits (2025)
373
Single-Family Permits
168

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
10.6
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
83.8
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
30.3
Good
Good Air Days
91%
945 of 1,044 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
6
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
28
2022
33
2023
30
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$730M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Goldeneye Energy Storage
Tenaska (Goldeneye Battery Storage, LLC)
$250M Proposed
Mount Vernon Battery Storage
NextEra Energy Resources
$230M Under Construction
Sounder Energy Storage BESS
Sounder Energy Storage
$200M Proposed
Skagit Habitat for Humanity Affordable Homes (Anacortes, Mount Vernon, La Conner)
Skagit Habitat for Humanity
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.7% 54 percentile
Income Growth +4.4% 84 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.4% 96 percentile
Home Price Change +1.4% 46 percentile
Rent Growth +6.0% 86 percentile
Price/Rent 21x 12 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Skagit County, WA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Skagit County scores just 19/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #804 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +0.6% and median household income of $89,263 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Skagit County affordable?

Skagit County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $545,100 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.16 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,536/month on average.

Is Skagit County growing or shrinking?

Skagit County's population is growing — up +0.7% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.6%). Home values shifted +1.4% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Skagit County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.03% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Skagit County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Island County, WA 18 Chelan County, WA 21 Pierce County, WA 17 Thurston County, WA 17 Spokane County, WA 16 Walla Walla County, WA 23 Hunterdon County, NJ 19 Suffolk city, VA 19