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Cowlitz County, WA

Longview-Kelso

RANK #417 / 996 NAT  ·  #3 / 21 WA  ·  POP 110,621

1YR FORECAST: +1.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +26%

Cowlitz County's housing market is projected to grow +1.3% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why Cowlitz County?

Cowlitz County, Washington, is distinguished by its dramatic natural scenery, notably its proximity to Mount St. Helens, which offers hiking trails and geological exploration. Located in southwestern Washington, the county seat, Kelso, is approximately 48 miles from Portland, Oregon, and 125 miles from Seattle. The area is known as the "Land of Six Rivers," with the Cowlitz, Columbia, and Coweeman Rivers providing opportunities for kayaking, boating, fishing, and wildlife viewing. The community offers a blend of rural and urban environments, with towns like Longview and Kelso serving as central hubs. Commuting within the Longview and Kelso area is supported by RiverCities Transit, while the Cowlitz Indian Tribe Transit Service offers options for rural residents.

Life in Cowlitz County often appeals to families, with a noticeable community focus. The economy, historically rooted in timber and milling, continues to have a strong manufacturing presence, particularly in paper and food manufacturing. This industrial base contributes significantly to the county's wages. Beyond manufacturing, there is growth in service and retail industries. The county has also seen investments in public facilities aimed at supporting economic development, including improvements to transportation infrastructure and commercial sites.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.6x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+1.3%

Well below national median

Home Prices
+0.6%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
4.5

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
20x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.6x relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Logistics
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Manufacturing Manufacturing
  3. 3
    Government (State, Local, and Federal) Government
  4. 4
    Healthcare and Social Assistance Healthcare
  5. 5
    Retail Trade Retail
    2,500+
  6. 6
    Education Education
    1,000+
  7. 7
    PeaceHealth St. John Medical Center Healthcare
  8. 8
    Smurfit Westrock Manufacturing
    500+
  9. 9
    Nippon Dynawave Packaging Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Cowlitz County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
110,621
+1.06% YoY
Median Household Income
$70,912
Median Home Value
$332,200
+0.6% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,090
Average Annual Pay
$67,600
+4.9% YoY
Employment
41,235
+0.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2135
Near national average
Migration Inflow
3.28%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
16.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$429,500
Days on Market
42
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.1
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
32.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
32.9%
Building Permits (2024)
353
Single-Family Permits
297

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
88.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

A
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
21.3
Good
Good Air Days
91%
994 of 1,093 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
2
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
21
2022
21
2023
22
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$250M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Landing on the Cowlitz Master-Planned Development
Undisclosed Developer
$150M Under Construction
Mid I-5 Industrial Park Warehouse (Amazon Fulfillment Center)
Amazon (leasing from Trammell Crow Company)
$100M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +1.3% 22 percentile
Population Growth +1.1% 74 percentile
Income Growth +9.9% 79 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.5% 94 percentile
Home Price Change +0.6% 39 percentile
Rent Growth +3.7% 63 percentile
Price/Rent 20x 10 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Cowlitz County, WA a good place to move to?

Cowlitz County scores 58/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 996 U.S. counties (#417). Median household income is $70,912 and job growth is running at +0.3%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Cowlitz County affordable?

Cowlitz County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $332,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.21 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,090/month on average.

Is Cowlitz County growing or shrinking?

Cowlitz County's population is growing — up +1.1% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.3%). Home values shifted +0.6% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Cowlitz County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.28% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Cowlitz County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Mason County, WA 59 Yakima County, WA 54 Clallam County, WA 48 Skagit County, WA 48 Grays Harbor County, WA 46 Pierce County, WA 41 Douglas County, KS 58 Fayette County, PA 58