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Douglas County, KS

RANK #321 / 1001 NAT  ·  #5 / 10 KS  ·  POP 120,302

1YR FORECAST: +1.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +31%

Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Douglas County at +1.7% over the next year.

[01] Why Douglas County?

Douglas County, Kansas, stands out for its unique blend of academic energy and historical significance, largely centered around its most populous city, Lawrence. Home to the University of Kansas and Haskell Indian Nations University, Lawrence provides a dynamic atmosphere with a walkable downtown featuring shops, restaurants, and music venues. Located in northeast Kansas, approximately 41 miles west of Kansas City, the county offers a commute that connects residents to larger metropolitan areas while maintaining a distinct community feel. Outdoor enthusiasts can explore Clinton State Park, offering camping, fishing, and trails, or enjoy other county parks like Lone Star Lake Park, which provides opportunities for picnicking, swimming, and boating.

Life in Douglas County balances academic and cultural pursuits with access to natural spaces. The public schools in Douglas County are highly rated, contributing to its appeal for families. Commute options within Lawrence include fixed-route bus services, with additional paratransit and on-demand options available. The county's economy benefits from its educational institutions and its position between two metropolitan areas. Recent economic developments show growth in sectors such as data centers, energy, and infrastructure, attracting a skilled workforce. The local food economy also plays a role, with a focus on local producers and food-related businesses.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Douglas County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +3.3% YoY, population +0.6%, wages +2.8%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
13.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+3.3%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
0.4

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
19x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 13.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    The University of Kansas Education
    5,000+
  2. 2
    LMH Health (Lawrence Memorial Hospital) Healthcare
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Lawrence Public Schools (USD 497) Education
  4. 4
    Berry Global Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Hallmark Cards, Inc. Manufacturing
    500+
  6. 6
    City of Lawrence Government
  7. 7
    Amarr Entrematic (Amarr Garage Doors) Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Douglas County Government
    250+
  9. 9
    Maximus Other
  10. 10
    Lawrence Paper Company Manufacturing
    100+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Douglas County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
120,302
+0.63% YoY
Median Household Income
$69,746
Median Home Value
$309,400
+3.3% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,099
Average Annual Pay
$55,612
+2.8% YoY
Employment
50,797
-0.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2254
Near national average
Migration Inflow
6.55%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
53.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$342,000
Days on Market
35
Active market
Months of Supply
4.1
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
28.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
23.1%
Building Permits (2025)
377
Single-Family Permits
230

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
9.2
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
59.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$948M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Data Center Campus (Flint Commerce Center)
Undisclosed (developer)
$700M Proposed
Kansas Sky Energy Center (159 MW Solar Farm)
Savion (developer), Evergy (owner/operator)
$159M Planned
Judicial and Law Enforcement Center (JLEC) Expansion & Public Safety Building
Douglas County
$89M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.6% 50 percentile
Income Growth +1.4% 21 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.6% 14 percentile
Home Price Change +3.3% 70 percentile
Rent Growth +6.4% 89 percentile
Price/Rent 19x 19 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Douglas County, KS a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 68/100, Douglas County sits in the upper half of all 1001 ranked counties. and median household income stands at $69,746 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in KS.

Is Douglas County affordable?

Douglas County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $309,400 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.23 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,099/month on average.

Is Douglas County growing or shrinking?

Douglas County's population is growing — up +0.6% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.3%). Home values shifted +3.3% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Douglas County?

In significant numbers — 6.55% of Douglas County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Riley County, KS 68 Reno County, KS 72 Saline County, KS 72 Leavenworth County, KS 62 Sedgwick County, KS 87 Shawnee County, KS 46 Florence County, SC 68 Cache County, UT 68