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Riley County, KS

RANK #322 / 1001 NAT  ·  #6 / 10 KS  ·  POP 71,946

1YR FORECAST: +1.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +31%

Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Riley County at +1.7% over the next year.

[01] Why Riley County?

Riley County, Kansas, is defined by the presence of Kansas State University and Fort Riley, a major U.S. Army post, both located in its largest city and county seat, Manhattan. Manhattan, often called "The Little Apple," blends small-town character with the activity of a college town. The county is situated in the Flint Hills, a region known for its tallgrass prairie ecosystem, offering outdoor recreation opportunities at places like Tuttle Creek State Park and the Konza Prairie. Commuting within the county is generally short, with an average travel time of 16.3 minutes.

Life in Riley County offers a mix of community and access to amenities, with public schools in the county receiving high ratings. The presence of Kansas State University significantly shapes the local economy, contributing over $1.3 billion in economic impact to the Manhattan region (which includes Geary, Pottawatomie, and Riley counties) and supporting thousands of jobs. This influence extends to various sectors, including education, research, and local businesses. While the county benefits from these large institutions, there is also a focus on diversifying the economy and addressing challenges such as the need for affordable housing.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Riley County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +4.6% YoY, population +0.3%, wages +3.1%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
10.4x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+4.6%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
17x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 10.4x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Kansas State University Education
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Fort Riley Civilian Personnel Military
    2,500+
  3. 3
    Ascension Via Christi Hospital Healthcare
    500+
  4. 4
    Champion Teamwear Retail
  5. 5
    Florence Manufacturing Company Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Meadowlark Hills Retirement Community Healthcare
    250+
  7. 7
    National Bio and Agro-defense Facility (NBAF) Government
  8. 8
    Walmart Retail
  9. 9
    Foot Locker Retail
  10. 10
    Manhattan Medical Center Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Riley County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
71,946
+0.33% YoY
Median Household Income
$61,098
Median Home Value
$237,100
+4.62% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,046
Average Annual Pay
$53,974
+3.1% YoY
Employment
30,411
+0.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2577
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
6.29%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
48.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$311,950
Days on Market
11
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
1.4
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.3%
Negotiation room for buyers
Listings w/ Price Drops
37.2%
Building Permits (2025)
243
Single-Family Permits
93

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
8.2
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
43.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$50M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Fort Riley Solar Project (Phases 1-3)
Corvias, Onyx Renewables (Sunstone Energy Development)
$50M Completed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.3% 36 percentile
Income Growth +2.6% 44 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.8% 9 percentile
Home Price Change +4.6% 84 percentile
Rent Growth +6.7% 90 percentile
Price/Rent 17x 32 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Riley County, KS a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 68/100, Riley County sits in the upper half of all 1001 ranked counties. and median household income stands at $61,098 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in KS.

Is Riley County affordable?

Housing in Riley County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $237,100 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.26, with rents averaging $1,046/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Riley County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Riley County are both close to flat — population +0.3% YoY and jobs +0.2%. Home values shifted +4.6% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Riley County?

In significant numbers — 6.29% of Riley County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Douglas County, KS 68 Reno County, KS 72 Saline County, KS 72 Leavenworth County, KS 62 Sedgwick County, KS 87 Shawnee County, KS 46 Warrick County, IN 68 Coryell County, TX 68