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Johnston County, NC

RANK #448 / 1001 NAT  ·  #25 / 51 NC  ·  POP 234,263

1YR FORECAST: -0.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +29%

#46 Fastest Growing
Johnston County's housing market is projected to grow -0.8% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why Johnston County?

Johnston County, North Carolina, is often recognized for the Bentonville Battlefield State Historic Site, the location of the last major Civil War battle in North Carolina. Situated in the state's Coastal Plain, the county is about 30 minutes southeast of Raleigh, placing it within the broader Research Triangle region. This proximity allows for a commute to Raleigh, while the county itself maintains a blend of rural landscapes and small towns like Smithfield, Clayton, and Benson. Outdoor recreation is available along the Neuse River with greenways for hiking and biking, and managed forests like Howell Woods Environmental Learning Center offer trails and wildlife viewing.

Life in the county balances agricultural roots with increasing development. Many residents commute to jobs in the nearby Triangle area. The economy is experiencing growth across several sectors, including industrial, logistics, manufacturing, and life sciences, with companies like Grifols Therapeutics and Novo Nordisk having a presence near Clayton. Educational institutions, such as Johnston Community College, contribute to workforce training, including programs for advanced manufacturing and biopharmaceutical jobs. The county's public school system, Johnston County Schools, serves a large student population across its elementary, middle, and high schools.

MARKET PROFILE

Sun Belt Exurban Boom

Johnston County is one of 43 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -0.6% runs below the profile's typical -0.0%.

See all 43 Sun Belt Exurban Boom counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
19.5x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-0.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
-1.2

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 19.5x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Johnston County Public Schools Education
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Novo Nordisk Pharmaceutical Manufacturing
  3. 3
    Grifols Therapeutics Inc Manufacturing
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Johnston Health (UNC Health Care) Healthcare
  5. 5
    County of Johnston Government
  6. 6
    Asplundh Tree Expert Co. Other
    500+
  7. 7
    Walmart Associates Inc Retail
  8. 8
    Food Lion Retail
  9. 9
    Caterpillar Inc Manufacturing
  10. 10
    AAF Flanders Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Johnston County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
234,263
+3.37% YoY
Median Household Income
$83,384
Median Home Value
$305,600
-0.64% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,146
Average Annual Pay
$56,106
+1.4% YoY
Employment
65,535
+7.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2729
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.39%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
28.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$355,000
Days on Market
52
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.7
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.8%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
17.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
31.2%
Building Permits (2025)
3,002
Single-Family Permits
2,633

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
86.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
43.3
Good
Good Air Days
69%
751 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
2
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
42
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$6,002M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Novo Nordisk Biomanufacturing Campus Expansion
Novo Nordisk
$4,100M Under Construction
Vulcan Elements Rare Earth Magnet Facility
Vulcan Elements Inc.
$918M Planned
Johnston County Public Schools & Facilities Projects
Johnston County
$524M Planned
Grifols Therapeutics Expansion
Grifols
$210M Under Construction
Eastfield Crossing Mixed-Use Development
AdVenture Development
$150M Under Construction
Amazon Inbound Cross Dock Facility
Amazon
$100M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +3.4% 96 percentile
Income Growth +4.4% 84 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 80 percentile
Home Price Change -0.6% 21 percentile
Rent Growth +0.4% 14 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 64 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Johnston County, NC a good place to move to?

Johnston County scores 55/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#448). Median household income is $83,384 and job growth is running at +7.4%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Johnston County affordable?

Housing in Johnston County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $305,600 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.27, with rents averaging $1,146/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Johnston County growing or shrinking?

Johnston County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +3.4% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +7.4% clip. Home values shifted -0.6% in the past year.

Are people moving to Johnston County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.39% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Johnston County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Guilford County, NC 54 Wilson County, NC 54 Gaston County, NC 52 Henderson County, NC 59 Catawba County, NC 60 Stanly County, NC 60 Ellis County, TX 55 Madera County, CA 55