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Alamance County, NC

RANK #859 / 1001 NAT  ·  #43 / 51 NC  ·  POP 176,893

1YR FORECAST: -1.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +13%

Our model projects Alamance County's housing market at -1.3% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Alamance County?

The Haw River, a central feature of Alamance County, North Carolina, flows through a landscape rich in both natural beauty and historical significance. Located in the north-central Piedmont region, the county is situated between the major metropolitan areas of the Triad and the Triangle. This positioning means residents experience a blend of small-town atmosphere in places like Mebane and Graham, alongside convenient access to larger cities for work or amenities. The Haw River Trail offers opportunities for hiking, paddling, and exploring former textile mill villages, connecting residents with the area's past and its natural environment.

Life in Alamance County offers a balance of community and accessibility. Many families and young professionals reside here, with public schools generally performing above average. Commute options include local Link Transit bus routes and regional PART Express services, connecting to nearby cities like Greensboro and Chapel Hill. The economy, historically rooted in textiles, has seen recent growth in industrial and logistics sectors, attracting new investments and job creation. This economic evolution provides opportunities for residents, including those who may commute or work remotely.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Secondary Market Surge

Alamance County is one of 35 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +1.4% matches the profile's typical +1.4%.

See all 35 Secondary Market Surge counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
11.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.4%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.0

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 11.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Alamance-Burlington School System Education
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Labcorp Healthcare
  3. 3
    Cone Health Alamance Regional Medical Center Healthcare
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Elon University Education
  5. 5
    Walmart Retail
  6. 6
    City of Burlington Government
  7. 7
    Alamance County Government Government
    500+
  8. 8
    Honda Power Equipment/Honda Aero Manufacturing
  9. 9
    GKN Driveline North America Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Alamance Community College Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Alamance County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
176,893
+1.5% YoY
Median Household Income
$65,651
Median Home Value
$241,500
+1.4% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,064
Average Annual Pay
$53,768
+2.4% YoY
Employment
66,529
-1.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2718
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.09%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
28.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$330,000
Days on Market
44
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.1
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.4%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
17.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
35.1%
Building Permits (2025)
2,027
Single-Family Permits
1,674

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.5
Firearm Fatalities
14.2
per 100K · nat avg 13.4
Injury Deaths
98.3
per 100K · nat avg 83.6
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate
10-Year Trend
Up 52% since 2015
homicide rate, 2015 → 2025

Source: Homicide rates from CDC/NCHS vital-statistics mortality data — a multi-year average that stabilizes counts in smaller counties — compiled in the County Health Rankings 2025 release. Rates per 100,000 population; U.S. average ≈ 6.5. Grade reflects homicide rate relative to the national average. Learn more →

See where Alamance County stands nationally: safest large counties in America · highest homicide-rate counties.

[06] Capital Investment

$513M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
UPS Package Sorting Hub
UPS
$316M Operating
Walmart Distribution Center Expansion
Walmart
$50M Planned
Alamance Foods Expansion
Alamance Foods, Inc.
$42M Operating
Sunlight Batteries USA Facility
Sunlight Batteries USA Inc.
$40M Operating
Quaker Creek Farm Solar
Quaker Creek Farm Solar, LLC
$35M Planned
Community Solar Portfolio (7 projects)
Cypress Creek Renewables and others
$30M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.5% 80 percentile
Income Growth +1.9% 28 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 36 percentile
Home Price Change +1.4% 40 percentile
Rent Growth +2.3% 34 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 50 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Alamance County, NC a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Alamance County scores just 13/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #859 of 1001 counties. Job growth at -1.7% and median household income of $65,651 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Alamance County affordable?

Housing in Alamance County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $241,500 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.27, with rents averaging $1,064/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Alamance County growing or shrinking?

Alamance County is attracting residents (population +1.5% YoY) even as the job market softens with employment at -1.7%. Housing values changed +1.4% over the past 12 months. People may be moving here for affordability or lifestyle reasons rather than job opportunities.

Are people moving to Alamance County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.09% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Alamance County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Mecklenburg County, NC 14 Rowan County, NC 12 Iredell County, NC 16 Moore County, NC 16 Wake County, NC 10 Orange County, NC 10 Newport News city, VA 13 Berkshire County, MA 13