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Wake County, NC

Raleigh

RANK #940 / 996 NAT  ·  #49 / 51 NC  ·  POP 1,132,103

1YR FORECAST: -1.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +9%

Our model projects Wake County's housing market at -1.2% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Wake County?

Known as the "City of Oaks," Raleigh, the county seat, anchors Wake County, North Carolina, a region distinguished by its lush, tree-lined streets and commitment to green spaces. Located in the state's Piedmont region, Wake County is part of the larger Research Triangle area. Commute times within the county and to nearby cities vary, with options like the I-540 outer loop assisting in navigating the region. The county offers extensive outdoor recreation, including over 200 miles of greenway trails, numerous parks, and lakes such as Falls Lake and Lake Crabtree, providing opportunities for hiking, biking, and water activities.

Life in Wake County attracts a diverse population, including families and professionals, drawn by its quality of life and educational opportunities. The Wake County Public School System is the largest in North Carolina, serving over 161,000 students across more than 200 schools. The economy is driven by a range of sectors, including technology, healthcare, education, and research, with significant investment flowing into these areas. The presence of institutions like North Carolina State University and the broader Research Triangle Park contributes to a skilled workforce and a dynamic economic landscape.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.2x

Below national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+3.3%

Above national median

Home Prices
-2.4%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.2

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
20x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 4.2x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Duke University and Duke Health Systems Healthcare
    25,000+
  2. 2
    State of North Carolina Government
    10,000+
  3. 3
    Wake County Public School System Education
  4. 4
    Walmart Retail
  5. 5
    University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Education
  6. 6
    WakeMed Health & Hospitals Healthcare
  7. 7
    North Carolina State University Education
    5,000+
  8. 8
    Food Lion Retail
  9. 9
    Target Stores Retail
  10. 10
    IBM (International Business Machines) Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Wake County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
1,132,103
+1.73% YoY
Median Household Income
$96,734
Median Home Value
$385,700
-2.44% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,412
Average Annual Pay
$76,807
+3.7% YoY
Employment
653,153
+2.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2508
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.02%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
55.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$460,000
Days on Market
73
Slower market
Months of Supply
3.6
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.3%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
14.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
25.1%
Building Permits (2024)
15,248
Single-Family Permits
9,620

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
7.8
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
54.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
47.7
Good
Good Air Days
56%
617 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
6
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
48
2022
46
2023
49
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,404M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
New Hill Data Center Campus
Undisclosed (Developer)
$1,000M Proposed
Forge Battery Gigafactory
Forge Battery
$100M Under Construction
Longleaf Solar Center
Duke Energy
$100M Planned
Knightdale Battery Storage
Duke Energy
$100M Under Construction
WakeMed Health Rolesville Campus
WakeMed Health
$54M Planned
Siemens Manufacturing Expansion (Raleigh & Wendell)
Siemens
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +3.3% 62 percentile
Population Growth +1.7% 86 percentile
Income Growth +9.3% 70 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.9% 10 percentile
Home Price Change -2.4% 12 percentile
Rent Growth +0.0% 11 percentile
Price/Rent 20x 9 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Wake County, NC a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Wake County scores just 5/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #940 of 996 counties. Job growth at +2.1% and median household income of $96,734 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Wake County affordable?

Housing in Wake County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $385,700 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.25, with rents averaging $1,412/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Wake County growing or shrinking?

Wake County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.7% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.1% clip. Home values shifted -2.4% in the past year.

Are people moving to Wake County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.02% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Wake County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Haywood County, NC 5 Durham County, NC 5 Pender County, NC 6 Mecklenburg County, NC 8 New Hanover County, NC 8 Orange County, NC 9 Contra Costa County, CA 4 Montgomery County, MD 6