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Jefferson County, OH

RANK #145 / 1001 NAT  ·  #11 / 49 OH  ·  POP 64,518

1YR FORECAST: +1.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +35%

#13 Most Affordable
Our model projects Jefferson County's housing market to grow +1.4% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Jefferson County?

Jefferson County, Ohio, situated along the Ohio River, is perhaps best known for Steubenville, its county seat, often called the "City of Murals" due to its numerous downtown artworks. The county, established in 1797 and named for Thomas Jefferson, lies on Ohio's eastern border, approximately 33 miles west of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Commuting options include local bus services within Steubenville, Mingo Junction, and Wintersville, with connections to Pittsburgh. The community maintains a strong sense of local identity, with many residents owning their homes. Natural scenery and outdoor recreation are prominent, with destinations like Friendship Park offering extensive acreage for camping, hiking, fishing, and boating, and Jefferson Lake State Park providing additional opportunities for outdoor activities. Life in Jefferson County is characterized by a blend of historical roots and evolving economic activity. The county's economy, historically reliant on steel production and heavy industry, is diversifying into areas such as healthcare, advanced manufacturing, and technology. Educational institutions like Franciscan University of Steubenville contribute to the local landscape. Efforts are underway to address housing needs, including initiatives to convert vacant lots into affordable homes. The county is served by six K-12 school districts and two private institutions, providing educational options for families.

MARKET PROFILE

Affordable Slow Markets

Jefferson County is one of 75 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +2.9% runs above the profile's typical +0.8%.

See all 75 Affordable Slow Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
7.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.9%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.8

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 7.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Trinity Health System Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Walmart Retail
  3. 3
    ArcelorMittal Steel Manufacturing
    500+
  4. 4
    Jefferson County Government Government
  5. 5
    Titanium Metals Corporation Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Eastern Gateway Community College Education
  7. 7
    Edison Local School District Education
    250+
  8. 8
    Franciscan University of Steubenville Education
  9. 9
    First Energy Energy
  10. 10
    Amazon Logistics

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Jefferson County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
64,518
-0.52% YoY
Median Household Income
$59,055
Median Home Value
$127,800
+2.93% 12mo
Median Rent
$835
Average Annual Pay
$54,191
+6.0% YoY
Employment
19,556
-1.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4621
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
1.59%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
20.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$159,000
Days on Market
64
Slower market
Months of Supply
3.6
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.9%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
25.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
25.1%
Building Permits (2025)
3
Single-Family Permits
3

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
5.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
19.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
115.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
52.3
Moderate
Good Air Days
42%
460 of 1,088 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
7
Includes 2 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
55
2022
53
2023
49
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$119M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
JSW Steel USA Ohio Inc. Electric Arc Furnace and Slab Caster Improvements
JSW Steel USA Ohio Inc.
$119M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.5% 6 percentile
Income Growth +3.6% 72 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.4% 22 percentile
Home Price Change +2.9% 66 percentile
Rent Growth +9.8% 96 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 84 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Jefferson County, OH a good place to move to?

Jefferson County ranks #145 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 86/100. The composite score reflects long-term strength — housing, income, and migration patterns — but near-term hiring is soft (employment is down 1.1% year-over-year). Median household income here is $59,055.

Is Jefferson County affordable?

By national standards, Jefferson County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $127,800, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.46 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $835/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Jefferson County growing or shrinking?

Both population (-0.5% YoY) and employment (-1.1%) are contracting in Jefferson County, though housing tells its own story with values moving +2.9% over the past 12 months. This is a county where the trend lines are pointing in the wrong direction.

Are many people relocating to Jefferson County?

Not particularly — 1.59% of Jefferson County's population moved in from another state, which is below the national average. Most residents are long-term locals rather than recent transplants.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Washington County, OH 87 Darke County, OH 84 Mahoning County, OH 84 Marion County, OH 89 Summit County, OH 83 Ashtabula County, OH 83 Warren County, NY 86 Chippewa County, WI 86