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Larimer County, CO

RANK #968 / 1001 NAT  ·  #10 / 15 CO  ·  POP 367,368

1YR FORECAST: -1.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +12%

#44 Best Climate & Terrain
Our model projects Larimer County's housing market at -1.0% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Larimer County?

Rocky Mountain National Park, with its alpine tundra and abundant wildlife, is a major draw for Larimer County, Colorado, which extends to the Continental Divide. Located in north central Colorado, the county seat, Fort Collins, is approximately an hour's drive north of Denver. The community offers a blend of urban amenities and access to natural landscapes. Commute options include local bus services in Fort Collins and Loveland, with some routes being fare-free, and regional connections to other Front Range communities. Outdoor recreation is a significant aspect of life here, with opportunities for hiking, boating, camping, fishing, and rock climbing at places like Horsetooth Reservoir and Roosevelt National Forest.

Life in Larimer County attracts a mix of families, young professionals, and retirees, drawn by the quality of life and access to outdoor activities. The public school systems, including Poudre School District and Thompson School District, are recognized for strong performance. The economy is diverse, with job growth observed across various industries such as state government, retail, professional and business services, hospitality, and manufacturing. Colorado State University also plays a role in the regional economy and talent development. The area continues to see investment in sectors like aerospace supply chain manufacturing and high-tech industries.

MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

Larimer County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -1.6% runs below the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
16.1x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-1.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
5.6

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
24x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 16.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Colorado State University Education
    25,000+
  2. 2
    UCHealth (Poudre Valley Hospital) Healthcare
    5,000+
  3. 3
    Larimer County Government Government
    2,500+
  4. 4
    Broadcom Inc. Technology
    1,000+
  5. 5
    Banner Health (McKee Medical Center) Healthcare
  6. 6
    Hewlett Packard Enterprise Technology
  7. 7
    Woodward Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Hach Manufacturing
    500+
  9. 9
    Qualfon Other
  10. 10
    Otter Products Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Larimer County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
367,368
+1.05% YoY
Median Household Income
$93,765
Median Home Value
$569,100
-1.61% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,716
Average Annual Pay
$75,912
+8.6% YoY
Employment
171,278
-2.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1648
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.97%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
53.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$565,000
Days on Market
56
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.6
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.1%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
22.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
27.6%
Building Permits (2025)
2,436
Single-Family Permits
985

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
71.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
52.0
Moderate
Good Air Days
47%
515 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
65
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
54
2022
51
2023
51
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$650M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Amazon Robotics Fulfillment Center (DEN9)
Amazon
$400M Under Construction
Rawhide Power Station Natural Gas Turbines
Platte River Power Authority (PRPA)
$200M Planned
Large Utility Projects (Johnstown Raw Water Pipeline, Berthoud Water/Sewer, Halligan Reservoir Expansion)
Town of Johnstown, Town of Berthoud, City of Fort Collins
$50M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.1% 68 percentile
Income Growth +2.6% 46 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 69 percentile
Home Price Change -1.6% 14 percentile
Rent Growth +2.9% 49 percentile
Price/Rent 24x 6 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Larimer County, CO a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Larimer County scores just 2/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #968 of 1001 counties. Job growth at -2.3% and median household income of $93,765 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Larimer County affordable?

Larimer County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $569,100 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.16 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,716/month on average.

Is Larimer County growing or shrinking?

Larimer County is attracting residents (population +1.1% YoY) even as the job market softens with employment at -2.3%. Housing values changed -1.6% over the past 12 months. People may be moving here for affordability or lifestyle reasons rather than job opportunities.

Are people moving to Larimer County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.97% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Larimer County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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