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Adams County, CO

West Adams

RANK #963 / 996 NAT  ·  #15 / 15 CO  ·  POP 520,149

1YR FORECAST: -2.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +6%

Our model projects Adams County's housing market at -2.5% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Adams County?

Adams County, Colorado, distinguishes itself with the Rocky Mountain Arsenal National Wildlife Refuge in Commerce City, a 15,000-acre urban wildlife refuge offering opportunities for wildlife viewing, hiking, and fishing. Located directly north of Denver, the county provides access to downtown Denver and is surrounded by Denver International Airport, facilitating travel. Commute options include major interstates like I-25 and I-70, along with RTD rail and bus services, including the N Line connecting to Denver's Union Station. The county boasts an extensive network of over 559 miles of trails, parks, and open spaces, such as Barr Lake State Park and Riverdale Regional Park, supporting outdoor recreation like hiking, biking, fishing, and birdwatching.

Life in Adams County offers a blend of suburban and rural environments, with diverse communities and a focus on affordability compared to other Denver metro areas. The county is served by 12 public school districts, some offering International Baccalaureate, STEM, and career and technical education programs. The economy is driven by various sectors, including advanced manufacturing, aviation and aerospace, and life sciences, with significant investment flowing into these areas. Recent initiatives aim to revitalize communities and support economic growth through infrastructure improvements and redevelopment.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.7x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+2.1%

Below national median

Home Prices
-3.8%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
2.5

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
19x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.7x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    UCHealth: University of Colorado Hospital Healthcare
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Amazon Logistics
    5,000+
  3. 3
    Shamrock Foods Logistics
    500+
  4. 4
    Children's Hospital Colorado Healthcare
  5. 5
    United Parcel Service Logistics
  6. 6
    FedEx Logistics
  7. 7
    Sturgeon Electric Other
  8. 8
    MAXAR Technologies Technology
  9. 9
    HCA HealthOne: Mountain Ridge Healthcare
  10. 10
    Adams County Government Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Adams County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
520,149
+1.01% YoY
Median Household Income
$86,297
Median Home Value
$425,000
-3.82% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,632
Average Annual Pay
$73,817
+3.6% YoY
Employment
249,299
+1.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2031
Near national average
Migration Inflow
6.09%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
27.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$500,000
Days on Market
54
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.1
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
25.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
30.8%
Building Permits (2024)
2,371
Single-Family Permits
2,028

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
6.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
90.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
50.3
Moderate
Good Air Days
50%
547 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
42
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
49
2022
51
2023
51
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,552M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Big Bronco Solar and Storage
Lightsource bp
$675M Planned
Vega Solar Energy Facility
Infinity Global (d/b/a Vega Solar Energy Facility, LLC)
$250M Planned
Adams County Wind Project
NextEra Energy Resources
$200M Planned
Birdseye Energy Storage
Birdseye Energy Storage
$199M Planned
Byers Solar Farm
Silicon Ranch
$150M Under Construction
United Power Battery Energy Storage Systems (8 sites)
Ameresco / United Power, Inc.
$78M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.1% 38 percentile
Population Growth +1.0% 72 percentile
Income Growth +10.2% 82 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 64 percentile
Home Price Change -3.8% 6 percentile
Rent Growth -0.6% 7 percentile
Price/Rent 19x 10 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Adams County, CO a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Adams County scores just 2/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #963 of 996 counties. Job growth at +1.7% and median household income of $86,297 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Adams County affordable?

Adams County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $425,000 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.20 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,632/month on average.

Is Adams County growing or shrinking?

Adams County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.0% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.7% clip. Home values shifted -3.8% in the past year.

Are people moving to Adams County?

In significant numbers — 6.09% of Adams County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Broomfield County, CO 3 Douglas County, CO 4 Weld County, CO 5 Denver County, CO 6 El Paso County, CO 6 Jefferson County, CO 6 Manatee County, FL 2 Osceola County, FL 2