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Santa Barbara County, CA

RANK #977 / 996 NAT  ·  #42 / 43 CA  ·  POP 445,213

1YR FORECAST: +0.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +4%

#3 Best Climate & Terrain
Our model projects Santa Barbara County's housing market at +0.7% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Santa Barbara County?

Santa Barbara County, often called the "American Riviera," is known for its Spanish Colonial Revival architecture, visible in landmarks like the Santa Barbara County Courthouse. Located on California's Central Coast, it sits between the Santa Ynez Mountains and the Pacific Ocean, roughly 90 miles north of Los Angeles. The region experiences a mild, Mediterranean climate with over 300 days of sunshine annually, making outdoor activities popular year-round. Residents and visitors engage in hiking and biking in the Santa Ynez Mountains, surfing and kayaking along the coast, and exploring areas like El Capitan State Beach or the Arroyo Hondo Preserve.

Life in Santa Barbara County offers a blend of natural beauty and community. The county includes towns like Santa Maria, the largest city by population, and Solvang, known for its Danish Village aesthetic. Commute options include local bus services, regional express routes, and Amtrak train service. The Santa Barbara County Education Office oversees 20 public school districts. The economy is supported by sectors such as agriculture, tourism, wine, and a growing technology presence, with major investment flowing into commercial and residential development, as well as energy.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
9.5x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+4.4%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+0.6%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
11.0

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
18x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 9.5x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Eaton Manufacturing
    10,000+
  2. 2
    County of Santa Barbara Government
    2,500+
  3. 3
    Cottage Health Healthcare
  4. 4
    Santa Barbara City College (SBCC) Education
    1,000+
  5. 5
    University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB) Education
  6. 6
    Raytheon Technology
  7. 7
    Sansum Clinic Healthcare
  8. 8
    Santa Barbara Unified School District Education
  9. 9
    Deckers Brands Retail
  10. 10
    Citrix Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Santa Barbara County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
445,213
-0.54% YoY
Median Household Income
$92,332
Median Home Value
$714,800
+0.6% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,964
Average Annual Pay
$69,664
+5.8% YoY
Employment
216,323
+0.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1292
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.51%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
35.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$1,099,500
Days on Market
46
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.1
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.7%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
29.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
16.6%
Building Permits (2024)
750
Single-Family Permits
481

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
7.2
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
66.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
45.7
Good
Good Air Days
61%
670 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
1
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
48
2023
45
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$850M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
La Cumbre Plaza Redevelopment (Residential)
Unknown
$500M Proposed
Burton Ranch Lompoc Project
Unknown
$150M Approved
Strauss Wind Farm
Strauss Wind LLC (BayWa r.e. Wind, LLC affiliate)
$100M Operating
GridStor Goleta Battery Energy Storage System
GridStor
$60M Under Construction
Cuyama Solar Project
First Solar, Inc.
$40M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +4.4% 77 percentile
Population Growth -0.5% 10 percentile
Income Growth +9.5% 71 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 72 percentile
Home Price Change +0.6% 39 percentile
Rent Growth +0.7% 16 percentile
Price/Rent 18x 14 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Santa Barbara County, CA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Santa Barbara County scores just 1/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #977 of 996 counties. Job growth at +0.2% and median household income of $92,332 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Santa Barbara County affordable?

Affordability is a real challenge in Santa Barbara County. The median home is valued at $714,800 — with an income-to-home-value ratio of just 0.13, that's significantly harder to afford than in most U.S. counties. Median rent runs $1,964/month.

Is Santa Barbara County growing or shrinking?

Santa Barbara County is losing population (-0.5% YoY) while the job market is essentially flat (+0.2% employment change). Home values are +0.6% over the past 12 months. A slow-bleed pattern — not a collapse, but residents are leaving faster than employers are hiring.

Are people moving to Santa Barbara County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.51% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Santa Barbara County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Humboldt County, CA 1 Napa County, CA 1 Ventura County, CA 2 San Mateo County, CA 2 Santa Clara County, CA 3 Lake County, CA 3 Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT 0 Manatee County, FL 2