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Santa Clara County, CA

San Jose

RANK #953 / 996 NAT  ·  #37 / 43 CA  ·  POP 1,916,831

1YR FORECAST: +1.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +8%

#36 Best Climate & Terrain
Our model projects Santa Clara County's housing market at +1.2% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Santa Clara County?

Often called the "Valley of Heart's Delight" for its past as a major fruit-producing region, Santa Clara County sits at the southern end of San Francisco Bay. San Jose, the county seat, is California's third-largest city. Commute options include major freeways like US-101 and I-280, along with Caltrain and Valley Transportation Authority (VTA) light rail and buses. The county boasts a Mediterranean climate with warm, dry summers and mild winters, contributing to its appeal for outdoor activities. Residents can access 28 regional parks, offering opportunities for hiking, biking, camping, and fishing. Notable natural areas include Castle Rock State Park with its panoramic views and Alviso Marina County Park for birdwatching.

Santa Clara County offers a diverse community with over 100 languages spoken. The public school system includes 31 districts, with many schools recognized for their quality. The economy is driven by its position as a global hub for technology and innovation, home to numerous high-tech companies. This economic activity fuels ongoing investment in commercial and residential development, as well as infrastructure related to data centers and energy. The county government is also a significant employer.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.3x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+6.1%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-1.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
6.0

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
32x

Speculative pricing

Housing is fairly valued at 6.3x relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Apple Technology
    50,000+
  2. 2
    County of Santa Clara Government
    10,000+
  3. 3
    Google Technology
  4. 4
    Stanford University Education
  5. 5
    Cisco Systems Technology
  6. 6
    Kaiser Permanente Healthcare
  7. 7
    Intel Technology
  8. 8
    NVIDIA Technology
  9. 9
    Applied Materials Technology
    5,000+
  10. 10
    Adobe Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Santa Clara County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
1,916,831
-0.79% YoY
Median Household Income
$153,792
Median Home Value
$1,316,800
-1.6% 12mo
Median Rent
$2,719
Average Annual Pay
$197,043
+12.8% YoY
Employment
1,116,581
-0.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1168
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.44%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
55.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$1,600,000
Days on Market
12
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
1.8
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
104.3%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
61.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
20.0%
Building Permits (2024)
3,834
Single-Family Permits
1,926

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
3.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
46.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
48.3
Good
Good Air Days
53%
575 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
16
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
53
2022
49
2023
43
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$13,812M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Santa Clara Valley Water District Capital Improvement Program
Santa Clara Valley Water District
$10,390M Planned
Tasman East Specific Plan
Multiple Developers (e.g., Ensemble Investments, Related California, Summerhill Apartment Communities)
$2,000M Under Construction
Vantage Data Centers Santa Clara I Campus Expansion
Vantage Data Centers
$770M Operating
CoreSite SV9 Data Center
CoreSite
$500M Completed
Tokay Storage Battery Energy Storage System
Undisclosed
$102M Planned
Kifer Energy Storage LLC (50 MW BESS)
Ameresco Inc.
$50M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +6.1% 91 percentile
Population Growth -0.8% 5 percentile
Income Growth +9.7% 75 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 32 percentile
Home Price Change -1.6% 17 percentile
Rent Growth +5.0% 80 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Santa Clara County, CA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Santa Clara County scores just 3/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #953 of 996 counties. Job growth at -0.3% and median household income of $153,792 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Santa Clara County affordable?

Affordability is a real challenge in Santa Clara County. The median home is valued at $1,316,800 — with an income-to-home-value ratio of just 0.12, that's significantly harder to afford than in most U.S. counties. Median rent runs $2,719/month.

Is Santa Clara County growing or shrinking?

Santa Clara County is losing population (-0.8% YoY) while the job market is essentially flat (-0.3% employment change). Home values are -1.6% over the past 12 months. A slow-bleed pattern — not a collapse, but residents are leaving faster than employers are hiring.

Are people moving to Santa Clara County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.44% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Santa Clara County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Lake County, CA 3 Contra Costa County, CA 4 Ventura County, CA 2 San Mateo County, CA 2 Humboldt County, CA 1 Santa Barbara County, CA 1 King County, WA 3 Bexar County, TX 1