26 / 100

Orange County, CA

Anaheim

RANK #735 / 1001 NAT  ·  #15 / 43 CA  ·  POP 3,165,820

1YR FORECAST: +0.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +25%

#9 Best Climate & Terrain
Our model projects Orange County's housing market at +0.1% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Orange County?

Orange County, California, is known for its coastline, with Huntington Beach recognized for surfing and Newport Beach for its harbor and yachts. Situated in Southern California, between Los Angeles and San Diego counties, it offers a Mediterranean climate with mild winters and warm summers, making outdoor activities popular year-round. The county features over 30,000 acres of parkland and 230 miles of trails, including Crystal Cove State Park and Laguna Coast Wilderness Park, providing opportunities for hiking, biking, and water sports. Commuting often involves major freeways, though public transportation options like OCTA buses and Metrolink trains are available.

Life in Orange County often appeals to families and professionals, with many master-planned communities like Irvine known for their schools and safety. The economy is diverse, with significant investment in sectors such as healthcare, life sciences, information technology, and advanced transportation. New industries, including space travel and electric vehicles, are establishing headquarters in the county, contributing to job growth. Despite a high cost of living, the region's amenities and job market attract residents.

MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

Orange County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +0.8% runs above the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
21.6x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.8%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
8.7

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
26x

Speculative pricing

Housing looks overvalued at 21.6x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    The Walt Disney Company (Disneyland Resort) Hospitality
    25,000+
  2. 2
    University of California, Irvine (UCI) Education
  3. 3
    Providence Healthcare
    10,000+
  4. 4
    Kaiser Permanente Healthcare
    5,000+
  5. 5
    Hoag Memorial Hospital Presbyterian Healthcare
  6. 6
    MemorialCare Healthcare
  7. 7
    Bank of America Finance
  8. 8
    Edwards Lifesciences Manufacturing
    2,500+
  9. 9
    Boeing Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Children's Hospital of Orange County (CHOC) Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Orange County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
3,165,820
+0.06% YoY
Median Household Income
$116,289
Median Home Value
$962,600
+0.76% 12mo
Median Rent
$2,434
Average Annual Pay
$84,827
+4.2% YoY
Employment
1,663,322
+0.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1208
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.56%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
44.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$1,260,000
Days on Market
38
Active market
Months of Supply
3.0
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.8%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
37.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.9%
Building Permits (2025)
4,992
Single-Family Permits
2,777

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
4.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
51.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
53.3
Moderate
Good Air Days
38%
412 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
35
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
55
2022
53
2023
52
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$540M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Santa Ana Energy Storage Project
Calpine
$320M Operating
Grace Orchard Energy Center (Solar-plus-battery storage)
Grace Orchard Energy Center, LLC / Orange County Power Authority (OCPA)
$120M Planned
Huntington Beach Generating Station (Extension of Seawater-Cooled Units)
AES
$50M Operating
OC Public Works Capital Improvement Program (Road, Bridge, Flood, Bikeway, Animal Care, Library, Parks, Housing, Community Development Projects)
OC Public Works
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.1% 26 percentile
Income Growth +2.3% 37 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 37 percentile
Home Price Change +0.8% 36 percentile
Rent Growth +2.2% 39 percentile
Price/Rent 26x 3 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Orange County, CA a good place to move to?

At 26/100, Orange County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $116,289 combined with job growth of +0.1% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Orange County affordable?

Affordability is a real challenge in Orange County. The median home is valued at $962,600 — with an income-to-home-value ratio of just 0.12, that's significantly harder to afford than in most U.S. counties. Median rent runs $2,434/month.

Is Orange County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Orange County are both close to flat — population +0.1% YoY and jobs +0.1%. Home values shifted +0.8% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Orange County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.56% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Orange County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Fresno County, CA 28 Yuba County, CA 24 Tuolumne County, CA 24 Kern County, CA 30 Merced County, CA 31 Solano County, CA 19 Dallas County, TX 22 Wayne County, MI 30