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Clackamas County, OR

RANK #829 / 1001 NAT  ·  #8 / 18 OR  ·  POP 423,975

1YR FORECAST: -1.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +22%

Our model projects Clackamas County's housing market at -1.6% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Clackamas County?

Oregon City, the county seat of Clackamas County, holds the distinction of being the first incorporated city west of the Rocky Mountains, established in 1844. Located in north-central Oregon, Clackamas County is part of the Portland metropolitan area, with downtown Portland approximately 15 miles north of the community of Clackamas. The county offers a mix of urban, suburban, and rural environments, characterized by natural beauty including Mount Hood, the Mount Hood National Forest, and several rivers like the Willamette and Clackamas. Residents and visitors engage in outdoor activities such as kayaking, fishing, hiking, and exploring numerous parks and trails, including the Springwater Corridor Trail and Mount Talbert Nature Park.

Life in Clackamas County balances suburban living with access to nature. The area is home to families, with various public and private school options available, including the North Clackamas School District and Clackamas Middle College. Commute options to Portland include Interstate 205 and the MAX Green Line, along with local TriMet bus routes and free county shuttles. The economy is diverse, with employment opportunities in healthcare, education, and retail. Recent economic developments show growth in private educational and health services, and leisure and hospitality sectors, contributing to a stable community.

MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

Clackamas County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -0.3% runs above the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
20.3x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-0.3%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
3.6

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
27x

Speculative pricing

Housing looks overvalued at 20.3x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Costco Wholesale Retail
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Walmart Retail
  3. 3
    Target Retail
  4. 4
    FedEx Logistics
  5. 5
    UPS Logistics
  6. 6
    United States Postal Service Government
  7. 7
    McDonald's Hospitality
  8. 8
    Starbucks Hospitality
  9. 9
    Kroger Retail
  10. 10
    Clackamas County Government Government
    1,000+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Clackamas County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
423,975
+0.39% YoY
Median Household Income
$103,517
Median Home Value
$611,000
-0.29% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,758
Average Annual Pay
$73,250
+4.8% YoY
Employment
174,341
0.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1694
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.19%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
40.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$650,000
Days on Market
18
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
3.1
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.7%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
36.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
36.6%
Building Permits (2025)
1,235
Single-Family Permits
960

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
11.6
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
69.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
32.7
Good
Good Air Days
84%
910 of 1,083 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
10
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
31
2022
33
2023
34
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$370M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Clackamas County 5-Year Transportation Capital Improvement Program
Clackamas County
$220M Planned
Clackamas Heights Master Plan Redevelopment
Clackamas County Housing Authority
$100M Under Construction
Community Solar Portfolio (Multiple Projects)
Various (e.g., SSD Clackamas 4, LLC, Sandy River Solar, Day Hill Solar, Kaiser Creek Solar, SSD Clackamas 7, LLC)
$50M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.4% 39 percentile
Income Growth +3.1% 60 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 45 percentile
Home Price Change -0.3% 23 percentile
Rent Growth +0.6% 16 percentile
Price/Rent 27x 2 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Clackamas County, OR a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Clackamas County scores just 16/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #829 of 1001 counties. median household income of $103,517 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Clackamas County affordable?

Clackamas County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $611,000 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.17 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,758/month on average.

Is Clackamas County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Clackamas County are both close to flat — population +0.4% YoY and jobs 0.0%. Home values shifted -0.3% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Clackamas County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.19% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Clackamas County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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