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Yamhill County, OR

Newberg

RANK #554 / 996 NAT  ·  #8 / 18 OR  ·  POP 107,674

1YR FORECAST: +0.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +22%

#35 Most Overvalued
Yamhill County's housing market is projected to grow +0.0% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Yamhill County?

Yamhill County, Oregon, one of the state's four original counties, holds a unique place in the history of the American West. Located in the heart of the Willamette Valley, its northern boundary sits about 15 miles southwest of Portland. This positioning allows for commutes to nearby cities like Portland, Salem, Hillsboro, and Tigard, with Yamhill County Transit offering bus and reserved ride services. The county is known for its scenic beauty, including rolling hillsides, vineyards, and the Willamette River forming its eastern border. Outdoor recreation opportunities include hiking at Miller Woods, which features diverse ecosystems and educational trails, and various activities in its 17 county parks, such as picnicking, boating, bird watching, and fishing. Life in Yamhill County blends smaller community living with access to urban centers. The county's economy is significantly shaped by agriculture, particularly its wine industry, with over 80 wineries and 200 vineyards. Educational services also contribute, with institutions like George Fox University and Linfield University located within the county. Manufacturing, health care, and retail trade are other major employment sectors. The county has seen recent job growth in areas like private education, health services, professional and business services, and government.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
11.0x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+1.2%

Well below national median

Home Prices
-0.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
3.2

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
17x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 11.0x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    A-dec Manufacturing
    1,000+
  2. 2
    McMinnville School District Education
    500+
  3. 3
    Newberg School District Education
  4. 4
    Willamette Valley Medical Center Healthcare
  5. 5
    Yamhill County Government Government
  6. 6
    Linfield University Education
    250+
  7. 7
    Cascade Steel Rolling Mills, Inc. Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Betty Lou's, Inc. Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Meggitt Polymers & Composites Manufacturing
    100+
  10. 10
    Oregon Mutual Insurance Company Finance

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Yamhill County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
107,674
+0.61% YoY
Median Household Income
$80,125
Median Home Value
$408,500
-0.55% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,302
Average Annual Pay
$54,993
+2.3% YoY
Employment
39,371
+1.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1961
Near national average
Migration Inflow
5.87%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
29.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$497,250
Days on Market
99
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.0
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.5%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
17.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
22.9%
Building Permits (2024)
316
Single-Family Permits
262

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
12.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
76.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$50M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
New Residential Construction
Various (e.g., Lennar, Holt Homes)
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +1.2% 20 percentile
Population Growth +0.6% 58 percentile
Income Growth +9.2% 66 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 80 percentile
Home Price Change -0.6% 25 percentile
Rent Growth +3.2% 55 percentile
Price/Rent 17x 20 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Yamhill County, OR a good place to move to?

Yamhill County scores 44/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 996 U.S. counties (#554). Median household income is $80,125 and job growth is running at +1.9%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Yamhill County affordable?

Yamhill County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $408,500 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.20 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,302/month on average.

Is Yamhill County growing or shrinking?

Yamhill County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +0.6% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.9% clip. Home values shifted -0.6% in the past year.

Are people moving to Yamhill County?

In significant numbers — 5.87% of Yamhill County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Lincoln County, OR 46 Polk County, OR 46 Jackson County, OR 50 Columbia County, OR 51 Lane County, OR 52 Douglas County, OR 36 Story County, IA 44 Kennebec County, ME 44