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Yamhill County, OR

RANK #890 / 1001 NAT  ·  #13 / 18 OR  ·  POP 108,734

1YR FORECAST: -1.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +19%

Our model projects Yamhill County's housing market at -1.2% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Yamhill County?

Yamhill County, Oregon, one of the state's four original counties, holds a unique place in the history of the American West. Located in the heart of the Willamette Valley, its northern boundary sits about 15 miles southwest of Portland. This positioning allows for commutes to nearby cities like Portland, Salem, Hillsboro, and Tigard, with Yamhill County Transit offering bus and reserved ride services. The county is known for its scenic beauty, including rolling hillsides, vineyards, and the Willamette River forming its eastern border. Outdoor recreation opportunities include hiking at Miller Woods, which features diverse ecosystems and educational trails, and various activities in its 17 county parks, such as picnicking, boating, bird watching, and fishing. Life in Yamhill County blends smaller community living with access to urban centers. The county's economy is significantly shaped by agriculture, particularly its wine industry, with over 80 wineries and 200 vineyards. Educational services also contribute, with institutions like George Fox University and Linfield University located within the county. Manufacturing, health care, and retail trade are other major employment sectors. The county has seen recent job growth in areas like private education, health services, professional and business services, and government.

MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

Yamhill County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -0.9% matches the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
22.4x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-0.9%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
3.2

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
19x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 22.4x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    A-dec Manufacturing
    1,000+
  2. 2
    McMinnville School District Education
    500+
  3. 3
    Newberg School District Education
  4. 4
    Willamette Valley Medical Center Healthcare
  5. 5
    Yamhill County Government Government
  6. 6
    Linfield University Education
    250+
  7. 7
    Cascade Steel Rolling Mills, Inc. Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Betty Lou's, Inc. Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Meggitt Polymers & Composites Manufacturing
    100+
  10. 10
    Oregon Mutual Insurance Company Finance

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Yamhill County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
108,734
+0.57% YoY
Median Household Income
$90,063
Median Home Value
$471,700
-0.95% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,480
Average Annual Pay
$57,280
+4.2% YoY
Employment
39,935
+1.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1909
Near national average
Migration Inflow
5.25%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
29.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$507,000
Days on Market
27
Active market
Months of Supply
3.8
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.2%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
27.3%
Listings w/ Price Drops
31.3%
Building Permits (2025)
214
Single-Family Permits
212

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
12.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
76.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$50M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
New Residential Construction
Various (e.g., Lennar, Holt Homes)
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.6% 47 percentile
Income Growth +3.4% 66 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 73 percentile
Home Price Change -0.9% 18 percentile
Rent Growth +2.4% 40 percentile
Price/Rent 19x 20 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Yamhill County, OR a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Yamhill County scores just 10/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #890 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +1.4% and median household income of $90,063 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Yamhill County affordable?

Yamhill County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $471,700 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.19 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,480/month on average.

Is Yamhill County growing or shrinking?

Yamhill County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +0.6% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.4% clip. Home values shifted -0.9% in the past year.

Are people moving to Yamhill County?

In significant numbers — 5.25% of Yamhill County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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