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Yavapai County, AZ

RANK #594 / 1001 NAT  ·  #5 / 11 AZ  ·  POP 245,480

1YR FORECAST: -1.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +27%

#49 Most Overvalued
Yavapai County's housing market is projected to grow -1.0% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Yavapai County?

Yavapai County, Arizona, is often recognized for Prescott, its county seat, known for its historic downtown and as "Everybody's Hometown." The county, larger than several East Coast states, sits in central Arizona, approximately 90 miles north of Phoenix. Its diverse landscape transitions from Sonoran Desert to the Mogollon Rim and Coconino Plateau, offering varied scenery and a mild climate. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with over 450 miles of hiking and biking trails in Prescott National Forest, along with opportunities for fishing, boating, and kayaking in lakes like Watson, Willow, and Lynx. The region also features numerous county parks and protected natural areas.

Life in Yavapai County attracts a notable population of retirees, though it also includes families and remote workers. Commute options within the larger towns like Prescott and Prescott Valley are supported by microtransit services such as Yav Connect. Education is served by various school districts, including Prescott Unified and Humboldt Unified. The economy is driven by sectors like education and health services, and tourism, particularly wine tourism in the Verde Valley, plays a role. Recent economic developments include a focus on attracting manufacturing firms, with an emphasis on aerospace, advanced materials, and precision machining, supported by workforce development initiatives with institutions like Yavapai College.

MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

Yavapai County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +0.0% runs above the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
25.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.0%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
5.2

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
19x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 25.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Yavapai Regional Medical Center Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Yavapai County Government Government
  3. 3
    Northern Arizona VA Health Care System Healthcare
  4. 4
    Yavapai College Education
  5. 5
    Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Prescott Education
    500+
  6. 6
    Freeport-McMoRan (Bagdad Mine) Energy
  7. 7
    Humboldt Unified School District Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Yavapai County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
245,480
+1.58% YoY
Median Household Income
$69,613
Median Home Value
$425,200
0.0% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,351
Average Annual Pay
$56,648
+3.6% YoY
Employment
71,348
-0.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1637
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.22%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
30.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$516,750
Days on Market
62
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.6
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.6%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
13.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
26.9%
Building Permits (2025)
1,718
Single-Family Permits
1,347

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
29.2
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
126.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
42.3
Good
Good Air Days
89%
941 of 1,060 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
0
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
40
2023
43
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,433M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Agua Fria Solar, Storage and Gen-Tie Project
Longroad Energy
$528M Planned
Dugas Solar Farm
Longroad Energy (formerly Candela Renewables)
$450M Proposed
Draconis Interconnection Solar Project
Lightsource (BP)
$360M Proposed
Project 1874 Solar Farm
Unknown
$95M Approved

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.6% 81 percentile
Income Growth +5.3% 92 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 78 percentile
Home Price Change 0.0% 26 percentile
Rent Growth +0.5% 15 percentile
Price/Rent 19x 20 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Yavapai County, AZ a good place to move to?

Yavapai County scores 40/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#594). Median household income is $69,613 and job growth is running at -0.3%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Yavapai County affordable?

Yavapai County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $425,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.16 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,351/month on average.

Is Yavapai County growing or shrinking?

Yavapai County's population is growing — up +1.6% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.3%). Home values shifted 0.0% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Yavapai County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.22% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Yavapai County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Pinal County, AZ 44 Navajo County, AZ 31 Apache County, AZ 56 Yuma County, AZ 56 Pima County, AZ 20 Gila County, AZ 14 Harford County, MD 40 Sumner County, TN 40