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Gila County, AZ

Payson

RANK #539 / 996 NAT  ·  #4 / 11 AZ  ·  POP 53,419

1YR FORECAST: +0.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +23%

#17 Best Climate & Terrain
Gila County's housing market is projected to grow +0.3% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Gila County?

Gila County, Arizona, is distinguished by its diverse landscapes, ranging from saguaro-dotted deserts to pine forests beneath the Mogollon Rim. Located in central Arizona, about 90 minutes from Phoenix, the county offers a blend of remote natural beauty and accessible communities. Payson, the largest town, serves as a hub in the northern part of the county. Residents and visitors enjoy extensive outdoor recreation, including hiking, fishing, camping, and boating at Roosevelt Lake and Tonto Natural Bridge State Park. The Tonto National Forest, encompassing nearly 3 million acres, provides year-round opportunities for exploring canyons, wilderness areas, and diverse wildlife.

Life in Gila County often appeals to those seeking a connection to nature and a sense of community, with many residents owning their homes. While some families have deep roots, the county's population continues to see steady growth. The economy, historically reliant on mining and ranching, has diversified to include education, healthcare, tourism, retail, and construction. Public transportation options like the Beeline Bus in Payson and Copper Mountain Transit in the Globe-Miami area provide local commute alternatives.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.5x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+1.0%

Well below national median

Home Prices
-1.8%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
7.5

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
19x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.5x relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Health Care & Social Assistance Healthcare
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Retail Trade Retail
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Educational Services (School Districts) Education
  4. 4
    Construction Other
  5. 5
    Accommodation and Food Services Hospitality
  6. 6
    Public Administration (Gila County Government) Government
  7. 7
    Freeport-McMoRan (Copper & Gold Mining) Other
  8. 8
    ASARCO (Copper Ore Mining) Other
  9. 9
    Apache Gold Casino / Apache Sky Casino Hospitality
  10. 10
    Banner Health (Banner Payson Medical Center) Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Gila County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
53,419
+0.39% YoY
Median Household Income
$55,242
Median Home Value
$222,500
-1.81% 12mo
Median Rent
$966
Average Annual Pay
$56,684
+6.2% YoY
Employment
15,973
+6.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2483
Near national average
Migration Inflow
6.77%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
18.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$525,000
Days on Market
82
Slower market
Months of Supply
6.3
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.8%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
12.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
16.4%
Building Permits (2024)
151
Single-Family Permits
149

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
9.8
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
40.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
176.8
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
45.7
Good
Good Air Days
65%
716 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
40
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
46
2022
45
2023
46
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +1.0% 17 percentile
Population Growth +0.4% 46 percentile
Income Growth +7.5% 26 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 58 percentile
Home Price Change -1.8% 16 percentile
Price/Rent 19x 11 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Gila County, AZ a good place to move to?

Gila County scores 45/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 996 U.S. counties (#539). Median household income is $55,242 and job growth is running at +6.7%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Gila County affordable?

Gila County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $222,500 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.25 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $966/month on average.

Is Gila County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Gila County are hiring — job growth of +6.7% — but the population is close to flat (+0.4% YoY). Home values moved -1.8% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Gila County?

In significant numbers — 6.77% of Gila County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Yavapai County, AZ 42 Navajo County, AZ 39 Yuma County, AZ 53 Cochise County, AZ 37 Mohave County, AZ 60 Coconino County, AZ 30 Eagle County, CO 45 Sampson County, NC 45