37 / 100

Cochise County, AZ

Sierra Vista

RANK #625 / 996 NAT  ·  #7 / 11 AZ  ·  POP 125,504

1YR FORECAST: -0.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +21%

#21 Best Climate & Terrain
Cochise County's housing market is projected to grow -0.5% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Cochise County?

Cochise County, in Arizona's southeastern corner, is often first recognized for its historic towns like Tombstone, famous for its Old West legacy, or Bisbee, an old mining town now known for its arts community. Located about an hour southeast of Tucson, the county offers a different pace of life with a commute time averaging around 20 minutes. The area is characterized by "sky island" mountain ranges rising from the desert, providing a cooler climate than other parts of Arizona. This diverse landscape supports extensive outdoor recreation, including hiking and rock climbing in areas like Cochise Stronghold and the Chiricahua Mountains, and world-class birdwatching, particularly in places like Ramsey Canyon Preserve and the San Pedro River National Conservation Area.

Life in Cochise County is often described as peaceful and quiet, appealing to families, retirees, and those seeking a less crowded environment. The economy is diverse, with Fort Huachuca serving as a major employer. Agriculture, particularly in the Sulphur Springs Valley and Willcox, also plays a role, with the county being a significant wine-producing region. Douglas, on the U.S.-Mexico border, has developed a manufacturing base. Recent economic developments include investments in energy sectors, contributing to the county's evolving economic landscape. The county also offers various public and private K-12 school districts and higher education options through Cochise College and a University of Arizona campus in Sierra Vista.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.4x

Below national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+2.4%

Below national median

Home Prices
+1.2%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
7.1

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
11x

Strong rental yield

Housing is fairly valued at 4.4x relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Fort Huachuca Military
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Cochise County Government
    500+
  3. 3
    Sierra Vista Unified School District Education
  4. 4
    Walmart Retail
  5. 5
    Canyon Vista Medical Center Healthcare
  6. 6
    Arizona Department of Corrections Government
  7. 7
    Cochise College Education
  8. 8
    Chiricahua Community Health Centers Healthcare
  9. 9
    Douglas Unified School District Education
    250+
  10. 10
    Copper Queen Community Hospital Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Cochise County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
125,504
+0.33% YoY
Median Household Income
$58,421
Median Home Value
$183,000
+1.18% 12mo
Median Rent
$893
Average Annual Pay
$59,877
+5.0% YoY
Employment
34,954
+0.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3192
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.24%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
26.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$279,990
Days on Market
104
Slower market
Months of Supply
6.1
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.8%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
10.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
18.3%
Building Permits (2024)
441
Single-Family Permits
435

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
19.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
99.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
44.3
Good
Good Air Days
75%
822 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
6
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
45
2022
44
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,373M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Desert Vine Wind Project
Repsol Renewables North America
$380M Proposed
Apache Solar II Project and Roadrunner Project (Solar & Battery Storage)
Arizona Electric Power Cooperative (AEPCO) / Clēnera LLC
$294M Planned
BrightNight Three Sisters Solar and Battery Storage Project
BrightNight
$259M Proposed
Winchester Solar and Battery Storage Facility
Torch Clean Energy / Tucson Electric Power (TEP)
$160M Planned
Babacomari Solar Project
Cleanview (developer not specified, TEP offtake)
$160M Planned
Herbie Solar & Storage Project
Korsail Energy
$120M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.4% 44 percentile
Population Growth +0.3% 43 percentile
Income Growth +6.1% 8 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 33 percentile
Home Price Change +1.2% 48 percentile
Rent Growth +3.2% 53 percentile
Price/Rent 11x 76 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Cochise County, AZ a good place to move to?

At 37/100, Cochise County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $58,421 combined with job growth of +0.8% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Cochise County affordable?

Housing in Cochise County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $183,000 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.32, with rents averaging $893/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Cochise County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Cochise County are both close to flat — population +0.3% YoY and jobs +0.8%. Home values shifted +1.2% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Cochise County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.24% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Cochise County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Navajo County, AZ 39 Yavapai County, AZ 42 Coconino County, AZ 30 Gila County, AZ 45 Yuma County, AZ 53 Maricopa County, AZ 21 Johnson County, IN 37 Lewis County, WA 37