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Ada County, ID

RANK #837 / 1001 NAT  ·  POP 518,935

1YR FORECAST: -1.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +22%

Our model projects Ada County's housing market at -1.1% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Ada County?

Ada County, Idaho, is perhaps best known for Boise, its capital city, which anchors the county's identity. Located in southwestern Idaho, Ada County is part of the larger Treasure Valley, characterized by high desert landscapes, foothills, and the winding Boise River. The Boise River Greenbelt, a 25-mile tree-lined pathway, offers opportunities for walking, running, and biking, and Barber Park is a popular starting point for floating the Boise River. Commuting within the county is primarily by car, with an average commute time of 21.2 minutes, though options like vanpools, carpools, and public transit are available. The community offers a blend of urban amenities and access to natural scenery, including over 90 parks and more than 200 miles of trails.

Life in Ada County attracts families and young professionals, with highly rated public schools, including the West Ada School District, the largest in Idaho. The economy is experiencing growth, with low unemployment rates. Major investments are occurring across sectors such as healthcare, technology, and construction. This economic activity, coupled with opportunities for outdoor recreation, contributes to the area's appeal for those seeking a balance of lifestyle and career.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Western Premium Correction

Ada County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +0.5% runs above the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
12.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.5%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
1.9

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
23x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 12.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    State of Idaho Government
    10,000+
  2. 2
    St. Luke's Health System Healthcare
  3. 3
    Walmart Retail
    5,000+
  4. 4
    Micron Technology Technology
  5. 5
    Boise State University Education
  6. 6
    West Ada School District Education
    2,500+
  7. 7
    St. Alphonsus Health System Healthcare
  8. 8
    Albertsons Retail
  9. 9
    Boise School District Education
  10. 10
    City of Boise Government
    1,000+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Ada County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
518,935
+2.14% YoY
Median Household Income
$91,502
Median Home Value
$512,300
+0.49% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,577
Average Annual Pay
$73,693
+4.4% YoY
Employment
294,914
+2.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1786
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.29%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
44.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$553,000
Days on Market
25
Active market
Months of Supply
1.5
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.9%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
23.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
37.4%
Building Permits (2025)
5,221
Single-Family Permits
4,637

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
67.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
46.0
Good
Good Air Days
61%
670 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
28
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
46
2022
48
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$3,800M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
rPlus Energies Solar & Storage Portfolio (Blacks Creek Energy Center, Bluebird Solar, Pleasant Valley Solar 1 & 2)
rPlus Energies
$1,400M Planned
Ada County Highway District Capital Improvement Plan (CIP)
Ada County Highway District (ACHD)
$1,200M Approved
Meta Kuna Data Center
Meta
$800M Under Construction
Boise Bench Substation Battery Project
Idaho Power
$200M Planned
Desri 150 MW Solar Facility
Desri
$150M Approved
Ada County Landfill Renewable Natural Gas Facility (Hidden Hollow RNG)
Biogas Development
$50M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +2.1% 89 percentile
Income Growth +2.9% 55 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 66 percentile
Home Price Change +0.5% 32 percentile
Rent Growth +4.8% 75 percentile
Price/Rent 23x 8 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ada County, ID a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Ada County scores just 16/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #837 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +2.4% and median household income of $91,502 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Ada County affordable?

Ada County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $512,300 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.18 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,577/month on average.

Is Ada County growing or shrinking?

Ada County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.1% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.4% clip. Home values shifted +0.5% in the past year.

Are people moving to Ada County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.29% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Ada County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Madison County, ID 35 Bonner County, ID 36 Bonneville County, ID 53 Kootenai County, ID 59 Bannock County, ID 65 Twin Falls County, ID 70 Spokane County, WA 16 Dane County, WI 16