30 / 100

Northampton County, PA

Bethlehem

RANK #695 / 996 NAT  ·  #34 / 44 PA  ·  POP 314,299

1YR FORECAST: +1.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +19%

Our model projects Northampton County's housing market at +1.1% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Northampton County?

Northampton County, Pennsylvania, offers a blend of historic charm and natural beauty, situated in the Lehigh Valley. Easton, the county seat, is notable for its vibrant downtown, the Crayola Experience, and the nation's longest-running open-air farmers' market. Bethlehem, another prominent city, is known as "Christmas City USA" due to its founding on Christmas Eve in 1741 by Moravian settlers and its festive holiday markets. The county borders the Delaware River to the east and features rolling hills and river valleys, with the Appalachian National Scenic Trail accessible to its north. Commute options within the county and to nearby major cities like Philadelphia and New York are available via major highways such as I-78, US-22, and US-33, and public transit services like LANtaBus and LANtaVan.

Life in Northampton County offers diverse communities, from walkable downtowns to quieter suburban and rural areas. The public school districts, including Wilson Area School District and Nazareth Area School District, are generally well-regarded. Outdoor recreation is a significant aspect of the quality of life, with 24 county-owned parks, trails, and conservation lands spanning 2,400 acres, including Minsi Lake Park for fishing and boating. Economically, the county, part of the larger Lehigh Valley, has seen a shift from its historical reliance on heavy manufacturing, particularly steel and cement, towards a more diversified economy. Recent economic developments include growth in manufacturing, with investments in food and beverage production and semiconductor manufacturing, alongside the emergence of data centers.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.1x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+1.6%

Below national median

Home Prices
+2.4%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.0

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Below national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.1x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Wal-Mart Associates Inc. Retail
  2. 2
    Lehigh University Education
  3. 3
    Saint Luke's Hospital Healthcare
  4. 4
    Federal Express Corp. Logistics
  5. 5
    United Parcel Service Inc. Logistics
  6. 6
    Bethlehem Area School District Education
  7. 7
    Northampton County Government
  8. 8
    Wind Creek Hospitality Hospitality
  9. 9
    Victaulic Company Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Giant Food Stores LLC Retail

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Northampton County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
314,299
+0.94% YoY
Median Household Income
$82,201
Median Home Value
$265,600
+2.35% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,280
Average Annual Pay
$60,298
+4.9% YoY
Employment
120,976
-0.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3095
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.52%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
32.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$348,750
Days on Market
15
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
1.6
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.8%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
33.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
22.6%
Building Permits (2024)
546
Single-Family Permits
372

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
7.8
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
80.2
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
45.3
Good
Good Air Days
60%
647 of 1,085 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
13
Includes 1 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
45
2022
45
2023
46
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$500M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Lower Mount Bethel Township Data Center Campus
Undisclosed (LMB Tech Center Project)
$500M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +1.6% 28 percentile
Population Growth +0.9% 70 percentile
Income Growth +6.6% 14 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 78 percentile
Home Price Change +2.4% 63 percentile
Rent Growth +3.9% 65 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 62 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Northampton County, PA a good place to move to?

At 30/100, Northampton County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $82,201 combined with job growth of -0.2% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Northampton County affordable?

Housing in Northampton County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $265,600 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.31, with rents averaging $1,280/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Northampton County growing or shrinking?

Northampton County's population is growing — up +0.9% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.2%). Home values shifted +2.4% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Northampton County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.52% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Northampton County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Berks County, PA 31 Luzerne County, PA 31 Dauphin County, PA 29 Venango County, PA 33 Cumberland County, PA 33 Philadelphia County, PA 35 Mercer County, NJ 30 Norfolk city, VA 30