Bottom 50 Counties

Lowest BTI Scores

The 50 lowest-scoring counties on the Boom Town Index — often driven by housing price corrections, high valuations, or slowing growth signals rather than outright economic decline.

# County BTI Score 1yr Forecast 5yr Outlook GDP Growth Pop Growth Home Price
01 Williamson County TX 0 -5.5% -6% +6.0% +4.3% -5.6%
02 Lee County FL 0 -5.1% +6% +3.4% +2.8% -9.4%
03 Pinellas County FL 0 -4.2% +16% +2.0% +0.2% -6.4%
04 Orleans Parish LA 0 -4.2% +1% +0.9% -0.9% -3.5%
05 Manatee County FL 0 -4.2% +7% +4.3% +2.6% -7.2%
06 Charlotte County FL 1 -4.0% +3% +5.2% +2.7% -12.1%
07 Collin County TX 1 -3.6% -2% +5.5% +3.8% -5.8%
08 Kerr County TX 1 -3.6% +6% +3.5% +0.8% -3.4%
09 Humboldt County CA 1 -3.5% +4% +4.3% -0.6% -4.3%
10 Broomfield County CO 1 -3.5% +7% +0.4% +1.7% -1.8%
11 District of Columbia DC 1 -3.5% +6% +1.3% -1.8% -3.0%
12 Buncombe County NC 1 -3.4% -1% +2.7% +0.9% -4.6%
13 Osceola County FL 1 -3.3% +6% +7.3% +3.5% -4.8%
14 Bastrop County TX 1 -3.2% +6% +3.8% +3.7% -3.8%
15 Douglas County GA 2 -3.2% +8% +6.1% +0.8% -4.0%
16 Bexar County TX 2 -3.0% +4% +3.5% +1.2% -2.9%
17 Sumter County FL 2 -3.0% +14% +7.3% +3.5% -1.2%
18 Walton County FL 2 -2.9% +12% +6.0% +4.3% -4.1%
19 Denver County CO 2 -2.8% +10% +1.9% +0.6% -4.2%
20 Jefferson County CO 2 -2.8% +9% +1.3% +0.1% -2.6%
21 Denton County TX 2 -2.7% +6% +1.9% +3.4% -5.0%
22 Indian River County FL 2 -2.7% +8% +2.8% +1.9% -4.8%
23 El Paso County CO 2 -2.7% +10% +2.8% +1.1% -2.2%
24 Sarasota County FL 2 -2.6% +10% +3.7% +2.3% -8.2%
25 Comal County TX 2 -2.6% +10% +6.7% +5.7% -2.0%
26 Davidson County TN 3 -2.5% +3% +4.1% +0.2% -2.8%
27 Broward County FL 3 -2.5% +13% +2.5% +0.3% -5.5%
28 Adams County CO 3 -2.5% +6% +2.1% +1.0% -3.8%
29 Monroe County FL 3 -2.4% +16% +3.4% -0.2% -3.4%
30 Douglas County CO 3 -2.4% +9% +3.0% +2.4% -2.9%
31 Hillsborough County FL 3 -2.4% +11% +3.6% +1.7% -3.9%
32 Chaves County NM 3 -2.4% +11% +5.3% -0.5% -3.5%
33 Pasco County FL 3 -2.3% +8% +5.3% +3.2% -4.7%
34 Arapahoe County CO 3 -2.3% +12% +1.4% +0.4% -3.8%
35 Grayson County TX 4 -2.3% +8% +5.7% +2.1% -4.7%
36 Napa County CA 4 -2.3% +3% +0.8% -1.0% -3.7%
37 Washington County OR 4 -2.3% +8% +1.2% +0.4% -2.9%
38 St. Charles Parish LA 4 -2.3% +28% +9.8% -0.4% +0.8%
39 Campbell County VA 4 -2.2% +22% — -0.2% +1.0%
40 Weld County CO 4 -2.2% +9% +6.5% +2.8% -2.5%
41 Sevier County TN 4 -2.2% +17% +2.2% +0.4% -3.9%
42 Rockdale County GA 4 -2.1% +11% +1.8% +0.7% -3.2%
43 Hernando County FL 4 -2.1% +18% +5.5% +2.3% -3.3%
44 Collier County FL 4 -2.0% +15% +5.8% +2.0% -6.3%
45 Wise County TX 5 -2.0% +8% -4.5% +3.2% -2.5%
46 Henry County GA 5 -2.0% +15% +5.5% +1.8% -3.9%
47 Chittenden County VT 5 -2.0% +4% +2.5% +0.5% +0.6%
48 Hays County TX 5 -1.9% +8% +7.3% +4.6% -5.3%
49 Chatham County GA 5 -1.9% +9% +1.9% +0.5% -3.5%
50 Lake County CA 5 -1.9% +8% +6.0% +0.4% -3.6%

More Rankings

Top 50 Boom Towns Best 5-Year Outlook Counties Most Affordable Counties Fastest Growing Counties Most Undervalued Housing Markets Best Counties for Real Estate Investment Counties with Highest GDP Growth Best Counties for Natural Amenities Best Counties for Rental Yield Lowest BTI Scores Most Overvalued Housing Markets Biggest Capital Investments by County