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Bexar County, TX

San Antonio

RANK #974 / 996 NAT  ·  #66 / 69 TX  ·  POP 2,014,059

1YR FORECAST: -3.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +4%

Our model projects Bexar County's housing market at -3.0% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Bexar County?

Bexar County, Texas, is perhaps best known as home to the Alamo, a landmark symbolizing Texas history and resilience. Located in south-central Texas, it encompasses San Antonio, the state's second-largest city, and numerous smaller communities like Alamo Heights and Helotes. The county is bisected by the Balcones Escarpment, creating diverse scenery from the rocky hills and springs of the Texas Hill Country in the north to the flatter South Texas Plains. Residents have access to a variety of outdoor recreation, including parks such as Brackenridge Park, Phil Hardberger Park, and the Leon Creek Greenway, offering trails for hiking and biking. Commute options within the county include major highways, public transit via VIA Metropolitan Transit buses, vanpools, and extensive bicycle facilities.

Life in Bexar County offers a blend of urban amenities and access to natural spaces. The public school systems in Bexar County are generally above average, with districts like Alamo Heights ISD and Northside ISD serving local families. The economy is driven by diverse sectors, including military installations like Joint Base San Antonio, a growing healthcare and biomedical industry, and a significant tourism sector. Advanced manufacturing, particularly in the automotive industry, and a developing technology sector also contribute to the economic landscape, attracting investment and creating job opportunities.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
3.5x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+3.5%

Above national median

Home Prices
-2.9%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
2.6

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks undervalued at 3.5x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Joint Base San Antonio (JBSA) Military
    50,000+
  2. 2
    H-E-B Retail
    10,000+
  3. 3
    USAA Finance
  4. 4
    Methodist Healthcare System Healthcare
  5. 5
    University Health System Healthcare
  6. 6
    Bexar County Government Government
    5,000+
  7. 7
    Toyota Manufacturing
    2,500+
  8. 8
    Valero Energy Corporation Energy
  9. 9
    CPS Energy Energy
  10. 10
    Randolph-Brooks Federal Credit Union (RBFCU) Finance
    1,000+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Bexar County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
2,014,059
+1.18% YoY
Median Household Income
$67,275
Median Home Value
$222,300
-2.85% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,212
Average Annual Pay
$65,875
+4.0% YoY
Employment
932,387
+1.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3026
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.49%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
30.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$285,000
Days on Market
102
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.9
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.9%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
13.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
32.6%
Building Permits (2024)
8,349
Single-Family Permits
5,815

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
8.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
14.6
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
68.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
54.0
Moderate
Good Air Days
36%
393 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
37
Includes 2 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
55
2022
55
2023
52
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,740M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Bexar County Capital Improvements Program (CIP)
Bexar County
$690M Under Construction
Vantage TX12 Data Center Campus
Vantage Data Centers
$448M Under Construction
Amazon Data Centers (3 facilities)
Amazon Data Services Inc.
$190M Planned
El Patrimonio Solar Facility
Ashtrom Renewable Energy
$150M Construction Stage
TJX/Marmaxx Distribution Center
TJ Maxx, Marshalls (TJX)
$150M Under Construction
Credit Human Federal Credit Union Headquarters
Credit Human Federal Credit Union
$112M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +3.5% 66 percentile
Population Growth +1.2% 76 percentile
Income Growth +8.2% 41 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.9% 11 percentile
Home Price Change -2.9% 10 percentile
Rent Growth -1.5% 3 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 48 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Bexar County, TX a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Bexar County scores just 1/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #974 of 996 counties. Job growth at +1.0% and median household income of $67,275 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Bexar County affordable?

Housing in Bexar County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $222,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.30, with rents averaging $1,212/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Bexar County growing or shrinking?

Bexar County's population is growing — up +1.2% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +1.0%). Home values shifted -2.9% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Bexar County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.49% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Bexar County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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