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Wise County, TX

RANK #944 / 1001 NAT  ·  #60 / 72 TX  ·  POP 75,005

1YR FORECAST: -3.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +15%

#29 Fastest Growing
Our model projects Wise County's housing market at -3.6% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Wise County?

Wise County, Texas, is often recognized first for its historic Wise County Courthouse in Decatur, a Romanesque Revival structure built in 1896 that anchors the county seat. Located in North Texas, approximately 35-40 miles northwest of Fort Worth, the county offers a blend of rural landscapes and small-town communities. Commutes to the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex are common, with options including personal vehicles on major highways like US 81/287 and US 380, and commuter vanpool programs. The area features rolling hills and natural scenery, with outdoor recreation centered around Lake Bridgeport and the LBJ National Grasslands, providing opportunities for boating, fishing, hiking, and camping.

Life in Wise County appeals to families and those seeking a slower pace, while still having access to urban amenities. The community is experiencing growth, with new residential developments. The economy is expanding, driven by investment in commercial and residential properties, as well as activity in sectors such as energy and infrastructure. This growth presents both opportunities and challenges for the county's towns.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Wise County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices -2.0% YoY, population +3.7%, wages +4.5%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
16.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-2.0%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.9

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 16.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Medical City Decatur Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Decatur ISD Education
    500+
  3. 3
    Wise County Government Government
    250+
  4. 4
    Walmart Retail
  5. 5
    Imperial Group Manufacturing, Inc. Manufacturing
  6. 6
    POCO - Entegris Manufacturing
  7. 7
    City of Decatur Government
    100+
  8. 8
    Cardinal Paint Manufacturing
    95
  9. 9
    Industrial Diesel Manufacturing
    77
  10. 10
    Landmark Fabrication Manufacturing
    45

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Wise County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
75,005
+3.66% YoY
Median Household Income
$93,421
Median Home Value
$304,900
-2.01% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,299
Average Annual Pay
$62,025
+4.5% YoY
Employment
21,805
+2.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3064
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.66%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
22.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$376,605
Days on Market
86
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.3
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.4%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
13.3%
Listings w/ Price Drops
34.0%
Building Permits (2025)
402
Single-Family Permits
394

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
16.6
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
86.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$5,115M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
New Residential Developments (25,000+ homes)
Multiple Developers
$2,500M Planned
Wise County Battery Storage Portfolio (4 projects)
Multiple (e.g., Cleanview tracked projects)
$889M Planned
CyrusOne Data Center Campus
CyrusOne
$600M Planned
Wise Innovation Hub Data Center Complex
Wise Innovation Hub LLC / Red Post Energy
$500M Proposed
Wise Moves Thoroughfare Master Plan
Wise County
$500M Planned
Sandford Solar and Storage
Belltown Power Texas 2, LLC
$126M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +3.7% 97 percentile
Income Growth +3.9% 77 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 50 percentile
Home Price Change -2.0% 12 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 45 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Wise County, TX a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Wise County scores just 5/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #944 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +2.8% and median household income of $93,421 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Wise County affordable?

Housing in Wise County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $304,900 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.31, with rents averaging $1,299/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Wise County growing or shrinking?

Wise County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +3.7% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.8% clip. Home values shifted -2.0% in the past year.

Are people moving to Wise County?

In significant numbers — 5.66% of Wise County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Tom Green County, TX 6 San Patricio County, TX 4 Rockwall County, TX 4 Webb County, TX 4 Harris County, TX 7 Bexar County, TX 3 Clallam County, WA 6 Umatilla County, OR 6